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Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Charlotte FC host CF Montreal in the MLS. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Charlotte FC at 1.97 goals for, 1.37 against; CF Montreal at 1.41 for, 1.62 against. Head-to-head, Charlotte FC have won 3 to CF Montreal's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.25) point toward Charlotte FC. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Charlotte FC
20%
Draws
29%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Charlotte FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Charlotte FC lately — more wins on the board than CF Montreal.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Charlotte FC taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 19%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte FC CF Montreal
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 MLS
CF Montreal vs Charlotte FC
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal
1:4
Apr 12, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs Charlotte FC
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 MLS
Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Charlotte FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte FC 40 / 100
CF Montreal 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte FC CF Montreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlotte FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Charlotte FC scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

CF Montreal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Charlotte FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Charlotte FC VS CF Montreal
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlotte FC

(Home)
17 Oct
Philadelphia Union
2 : 2
Charlotte FC
14 Oct
Columbus Crew
3 : 1
Charlotte FC
10 Oct
Charlotte FC
3 : 2
FC Dallas
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
Chicago Fire
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 6

CF Montreal

(Away)
18 Oct
Seattle Sounders
1 : 1
CF Montreal
14 Oct
CF Montreal
0 : 3
Atlanta United
10 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1
CF Montreal
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 30 16 7 7 63:31 55
2 St. Louis City 30 14 9 7 56:41 51
3 FC Dallas 30 14 9 7 55:47 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes 30 13 9 8 52:42 48
5 Houston Dynamo 30 13 8 9 41:39 47
6 Los Angeles FC 31 12 10 9 48:33 46
7 Seattle Sounders 30 11 9 10 39:37 42
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 31 10 10 11 43:52 40
9 Colorado Rapids 30 11 6 13 41:41 39
10 Real Salt Lake 30 10 6 14 45:48 36
11 Portland Timbers 30 9 7 14 51:56 34
12 San Diego FC 30 8 10 12 53:56 34
13 Minnesota United 30 8 10 12 47:55 34
14 Austin FC 30 7 10 13 38:56 31
15 Sporting Kansas City 30 6 4 20 36:75 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 30 20 7 3 64:23 67
2 Inter Miami 30 15 10 5 73:51 55
3 New England Revolution 30 16 4 10 49:41 52
4 Chicago Fire 30 14 6 10 52:44 48
5 Charlotte FC 30 13 8 9 53:45 47
6 Philadelphia Union 30 13 7 10 61:48 46
7 Orlando City 30 12 5 13 58:70 41
8 New York Red Bulls 30 10 6 14 39:56 36
9 FC Cincinnati 29 9 9 11 60:70 36
10 Toronto FC 30 8 12 10 46:55 36
11 Columbus Crew 30 10 5 15 46:47 35
12 New York City 30 8 10 12 43:41 34
13 DC United 29 7 12 10 37:51 33
14 Atlanta United 30 8 6 16 37:51 30
15 CF Montreal 30 6 7 17 36:60 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)