Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Charlotte FC vs FC Cincinnati

USA USA

MLS Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Valenzuela G.
36' Event
Denkey K.
43' Event
Evander
Assist: Bucha P.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Charlotte FC and FC Cincinnati finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Charlotte FC
44%
Draws
20%
FC Cincinnati
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Charlotte FC have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — FC Cincinnati are scoring more at 3.25.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 10%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte FC FC Cincinnati
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.13 3.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 MLS
Charlotte FC vs FC Cincinnati
2:2
Aug 10, 2025 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs FC Cincinnati
2:0
Jul 13, 2024 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC
1:3
Mar 30, 2024 MLS
Charlotte FC vs FC Cincinnati
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlotte FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Toklomati I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Biel P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Cincinnati Compare

Top Goalscorer Denkey K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evander
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte FC 34 / 100
FC Cincinnati 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte FC FC Cincinnati

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlotte FC found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

FC Cincinnati's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Charlotte FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Charlotte FC VS FC Cincinnati
1.13 Goals Scored 3.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlotte FC

(Home)
23 Jul
Charlotte FC
2 : 2
Atlanta United
23 May
Charlotte FC
1 : 0
New England Revolution
16 May
Charlotte FC
3 : 1
Toronto FC
13 May
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
New York City
09 May
Charlotte FC
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 6

FC Cincinnati

(Away)
22 Jul
FC Cincinnati
4 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
10 Jul
FC Cincinnati
3 : 1
Burnley
23 May
FC Cincinnati
6 : 2
Orlando City
17 May
San Diego FC
3 : 3
FC Cincinnati
13 May
FC Cincinnati
3 : 5
Inter Miami
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps15102337:1632
2San Jose Earthquakes16102434:1932
3Los Angeles FC1793530:1830
4Real Salt Lake1582527:2226
5FC Dallas1675432:2426
6Seattle Sounders1573519:1924
7Houston Dynamo1572620:2423
8St. Louis City1664622:2322
9Minnesota United1664619:2422
10Los Angeles Galaxy1755723:2820
11Colorado Rapids1661926:2419
12Portland Timbers1653829:3118
13San Diego FC1645730:2817
14Austin FC1645722:3217
15Sporting Kansas City16421018:4014
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC16123133:1139
2Inter Miami16104242:3034
3Chicago Fire1582529:1926
4New England Revolution1582522:1826
5FC Cincinnati1665540:4023
6New York City1664627:2222
7Charlotte FC1664626:2522
8New York Red Bulls1664626:3522
9DC United1647522:2619
10Orlando City1652927:4417
11Columbus Crew1644822:2516
12Toronto FC1637622:2916
13CF Montreal1643922:3215
14Atlanta United16331016:2612
15Philadelphia Union16241021:3110
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)