Sport Picks
Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC 
Match Events
22'
22'
Farrington L.
Assist: Johansson H.
46'
46'
Sub
Abubakar L. In: Ibeagha S.
Out: Abubakar L.
60'
60'
Sub
Farrington L. In: Musa P.
Out: Farrington L.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Charlotte FC and FC Dallas finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charlotte FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Dallas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Charlotte FC's 1.93 goals per match outpaces what FC Dallas have produced (1.89).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 16%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charlotte FC | FC Dallas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 MLS
Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas
3:2
Jul 22, 2023 Leagues Cup
FC Dallas vs Charlotte FC
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charlotte FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Toklomati I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Toffolo H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
FC Dallas Compare
Top Goalscorer Farrington L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Musa P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charlotte FC 31 / 100
FC Dallas 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charlotte FC FC Dallas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Charlotte FC scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: FC Dallas conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.
Charlotte FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Charlotte FC VS FC Dallas
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Charlotte FC
(Home) 26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1 Chicago Fire
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0 Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1 Chicago Fire
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0 Houston Dynamo
22 Aug
Charlotte FC
3 : 1 DC United
15 Aug
Charlotte FC
3 : 1 Columbus Crew
11 Aug
Charlotte FC
0 : 1 Pachuca
Page 1 of 4
FC Dallas
(Away) 27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0 Los Angeles FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0 Austin FC
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1 Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2 FC Dallas
06 Sept
FC Dallas
4 : 3 Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2 FC Dallas
30 Aug
St. Louis City
3 : 3 FC Dallas
23 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps
5 : 0 FC Dallas
20 Aug
Real Salt Lake
3 : 4 FC Dallas
17 Aug
Austin FC
1 : 2 FC Dallas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61:30 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52:45 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:35 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 39:39 | 37 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41:46 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36:51 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 42:51 | 30 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35:68 | 22 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 63 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 68:50 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45:39 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 56:45 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 51:66 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 38:52 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58:65 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:46 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:48 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
