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Charlotte Independence vs Athletic Club Boise

USA USA

USL League One American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ortiz V. In: Alvarez L.
Out: Ortiz V.
59'
Kliewer J.
60' Event
Alvarez L.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Charlotte Independence in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charlotte Independence.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Charlotte Independence
17%
Draws
70%
Athletic Club Boise
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Athletic Club Boise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Athletic Club Boise haven't matched Charlotte Independence's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Athletic Club Boise a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 16%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte Independence Athletic Club Boise
Matches Played 28 21
Wins 16 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Athletic Club Boise
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlotte Independence Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Athletic Club Boise Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte Independence 15 / 100
Athletic Club Boise 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte Independence Athletic Club Boise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlotte Independence's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Athletic Club Boise conceded in 71% of 21 recent games.

Charlotte Independence has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Charlotte Independence VS Athletic Club Boise
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlotte Independence

(Home)
23 Jul
Spokane Velocity
3 : 0
Charlotte Independence
18 Jul
Charlotte Independence
2 : 4
Chattanooga Red Wolves
11 Jul
Charleston
2 : 3
Charlotte Independence
06 Jul
AV Alta FC
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
01 Jul
Charlotte Independence
2 : 1
Corpus Christi FC
Page 1 of 6

Athletic Club Boise

(Away)
18 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
12 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 0
Sacramento Republic
05 Jul
Westchester SC
0 : 1
Athletic Club Boise
03 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 2
One Knoxville
21 Jun
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0
Union Omaha
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha18112529:2135
2One Knoxville16103330:1633
3Charlotte Independence1693436:2530
4Spokane Velocity1792622:2129
5AV Alta FC1877426:2128
6Athletic Club Boise1783625:2427
7Fort Wayne1676324:1427
8Forward Madison1482426:1426
9Chattanooga Red Wolves1481527:1725
10Portland Hearts of Pine1755726:2820
11Corpus Christi FC1747620:2619
12Westchester SC1753928:2518
13Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
14FC Naples17521018:2717
15Greenville Triumph1442814:2414
16Richmond Kickers16331012:3012
17New York Cosmos16321117:3611
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)