Sport Picks
Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
USL League One American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, NC 
Match Events
31'
31'
Jaime C.
46'
46'
Sub
Vukovic A. In: Rempel M.
Out: Vukovic A.
51'
51'
Nieto E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Charlotte Independence
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Charlotte Independence lately — more wins on the board than Fort Wayne.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 10%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charlotte Independence | Fort Wayne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 21 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.18 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne
1:1
May 2, 2026 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs Charlotte Independence
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charlotte Independence Compare
Top Goalscorer Stefano Pinho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Fort Wayne Compare
Top Goalscorer Dias T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charlotte Independence 29 / 100
Fort Wayne 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charlotte Independence Fort Wayne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charlotte Independence Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Charlotte Independence's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Fort Wayne has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Charlotte Independence stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Charlotte Independence VS Fort Wayne
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Charlotte Independence
(Home) 26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4 Westchester SC
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4 Westchester SC
02 Sept
Charlotte Independence
3 : 2 Portland Hearts of Pine
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0 AV Alta FC
15 Aug
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 4
Fort Wayne
(Away) 26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4 New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
29 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Fort Wayne
09 Aug
AV Alta FC
3 : 0 Fort Wayne
26 Jul
Spokane Velocity
3 : 1 Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 64:40 | 57 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50:27 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:31 | 48 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 38:33 | 46 |
| 6 | Athletic Club Boise | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 47:40 | 43 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 42:36 | 38 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:37 | 36 |
| 10 | Sarasota Paradise | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37:40 | 33 |
| 11 | AV Alta FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 30:43 | 31 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 46:45 | 30 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 40:50 | 30 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 35:54 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:51 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 27:56 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
