Sport Picks
Charlotte Independence vs New York Cosmos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, NC 
Match Events
18'
18'
Jaime C.
Assist: Bakero J.
41'
41'
Skinner J.
Assist: Jaime C.
45'
45'
Marou S.
Assist: Skinner J.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Charlotte Independence and New York Cosmos finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charlotte Independence.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Charlotte Independence
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Charlotte Independence come out ahead of New York Cosmos on wins alone.
- Model gives Charlotte Independence a 52% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 13%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charlotte Independence | New York Cosmos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 21 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 2.23 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 USL League One
New York Cosmos vs Charlotte Independence
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charlotte Independence Compare
Top Goalscorer Jaime C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Skinner J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
New York Cosmos Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charlotte Independence 57 / 100
New York Cosmos 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charlotte Independence New York Cosmos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charlotte Independence Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Charlotte Independence found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).
New York Cosmos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Charlotte Independence remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Charlotte Independence VS New York Cosmos
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Charlotte Independence
(Home) 03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4 Westchester SC
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4 Westchester SC
02 Sept
Charlotte Independence
3 : 2 Portland Hearts of Pine
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0 AV Alta FC
15 Aug
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 4
New York Cosmos
(Away) 03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2 Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2 Westchester SC
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4 New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4 New York Cosmos
30 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 New York Cosmos
22 Aug
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 3 New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
