Sport Picks
Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers
USA
USL League One American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, NC 
Match Events
40'
40'
Saydee P.
Assist: Bakero J.
45'
45'
Ngah F.
46'
46'
Sub
Guffroy M. In: Alvarez L.
Out: Guffroy M.
AI Match Summary
Charlotte Independence in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charlotte Independence.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
20%
7%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Charlotte Independence
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Charlotte Independence have won more games recently than Richmond Kickers.
- Charlotte Independence are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Charlotte Independence have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 15%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charlotte Independence | Richmond Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 2.27 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence
1:2
Jul 25, 2026 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers
3:1
Apr 25, 2026 USL Cup
Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence
2:3
Jul 26, 2025 USL Cup
Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charlotte Independence Compare
Top Goalscorer Saydee P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ngah F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Richmond Kickers Compare
Top Goalscorer Vinberg S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charlotte Independence 84 / 100
Richmond Kickers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charlotte Independence Richmond Kickers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charlotte Independence Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Charlotte Independence found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Richmond Kickers conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Solid form: Charlotte Independence remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Charlotte Independence VS Richmond Kickers
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Charlotte Independence
(Home) 19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4 Westchester SC
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
02 Sept
Charlotte Independence
3 : 2 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4 Westchester SC
02 Sept
Charlotte Independence
3 : 2 Portland Hearts of Pine
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0 AV Alta FC
15 Aug
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
12 Aug
Charlotte Independence
2 : 4 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 4
Richmond Kickers
(Away) 19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2 Richmond Kickers
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0 Richmond Kickers
29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Forward Madison
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2 Richmond Kickers
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0 Richmond Kickers
16 Aug
Union Omaha
5 : 1 Richmond Kickers
25 Jul
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Richmond Kickers
16 Jul
Forward Madison
4 : 0 Richmond Kickers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 50:30 | 58 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 63:39 | 56 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 50:26 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 44:31 | 47 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 36:33 | 40 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 41:35 | 37 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 30:36 | 33 |
| 10 | AV Alta FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 33:39 | 30 |
| 12 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 39:46 | 30 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 46:45 | 29 |
| 14 | FC Naples | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29:43 | 28 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 29:48 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 32:52 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 25:53 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
