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Charlton vs Bolton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship The Valley, London
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Dalby S.
20'
Knibbs H.
46'
Sub
Chalobah N. In: Leaburn M.
Out: Chalobah N.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Charlton and Bolton finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bolton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Charlton
20%
Draws
70%
Bolton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bolton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Bolton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bolton's way, sitting at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Charlton Clean Sheet 14%
Bolton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlton Bolton
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 Championship
Charlton vs Bolton
0:1
Jan 21, 2025 League One
Bolton vs Charlton
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 League One
Charlton vs Bolton
2:0
Feb 17, 2024 League One
Bolton vs Charlton
3:3
Oct 28, 2023 League One
Charlton vs Bolton
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Bolton Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalby S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlton 23 / 100
Bolton 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlton Bolton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Charlton scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Bolton has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Charlton has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Charlton VS Bolton
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlton

(Home)
03 Nov
Charlton
0 : 1
Bolton
31 Oct
Middlesbrough
3 : 0
Charlton
24 Oct
Charlton
1 : 3
Norwich
17 Oct
Watford
2 : 0
Charlton
13 Oct
Burnley
2 : 2
Charlton
Page 1 of 6

Bolton

(Away)
03 Nov
Charlton
0 : 1
Bolton
31 Oct
Bolton
2 : 3
Bristol City
23 Oct
Bolton
1 : 5
Middlesbrough
17 Oct
Southampton
0 : 0
Bolton
13 Oct
Wolves
1 : 3
Bolton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 14 8 4 2 30:19 28
2 Wolves 14 8 3 3 25:17 27
3 Birmingham 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Stoke City 14 8 2 4 22:17 26
5 Swansea 14 8 2 4 21:16 26
6 West Brom 14 7 4 3 20:15 25
7 Southampton 14 8 4 2 29:14 24
8 West Ham 14 6 5 3 36:21 23
9 Sheffield Utd 14 6 4 4 20:17 22
10 Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 19:16 22
11 QPR 14 5 6 3 22:17 21
12 Norwich 14 6 0 8 27:24 18
13 Millwall 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
14 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 20:22 18
15 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 16:19 18
16 Wrexham 14 4 5 5 17:19 17
17 Bolton 14 5 2 7 19:26 17
18 Cardiff 14 3 6 5 22:23 15
19 Lincoln City 14 4 3 7 14:24 15
20 Watford 14 4 2 8 13:23 14
21 Charlton 14 3 5 6 11:22 14
22 Burnley 14 1 7 6 18:26 10
23 Derby 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
24 Preston 14 1 2 11 12:30 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)