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Charlton vs Bristol City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship The Valley, London
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Charlton host Bristol City in the Championship. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Bristol City have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Charlton have conceded 1.31 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Bristol City slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.50) point toward Charlton. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Charlton
30%
Draws
52%
Bristol City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bristol City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Charlton have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Bristol City are scoring more at 1.13.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Charlton Clean Sheet 16%
Bristol City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlton Bristol City
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Championship
Charlton vs Bristol City
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Championship
Bristol City vs Charlton
0:0
Dec 26, 2019 Championship
Charlton vs Bristol City
3:2
Oct 23, 2019 Championship
Bristol City vs Charlton
2:1
Feb 6, 2016 Championship
Charlton vs Bristol City
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlton 31 / 100
Bristol City 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlton Bristol City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bristol City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bristol City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Charlton scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Charlton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Charlton VS Bristol City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlton

(Home)
19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1
Charlton
12 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
Portsmouth
09 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
QPR
05 Sept
Stoke City
4 : 0
Charlton
02 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1
Charlton
Page 1 of 6

Bristol City

(Away)
18 Sept
Bristol City
1 : 0
Watford
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1
Lincoln City
12 Sept
Southampton
4 : 1
Bristol City
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2
Bristol City
01 Sept
Preston
1 : 3
Bristol City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 8 4 3 1 22:11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
5 West Brom 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
6 QPR 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 16:17 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)