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Charlton vs Preston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship The Valley, London
Charlton Logo

Charlton

1 - 0
FT
Preston Logo

Preston

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Carey S. In: Alli M.
Out: Carey S.
54'
Leroy L.
56' Event
Grant K.
Assist: Alli M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Charlton in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charlton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Charlton
20%
Draws
40%
Preston
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Charlton lately — more wins on the board than Preston.
  • Win probability leans Charlton's way, sitting at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Preston have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Charlton Clean Sheet 68%
Preston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlton Preston
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 5
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Championship
Charlton vs Preston
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Championship
Charlton vs Preston
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Championship
Preston vs Charlton
2:0
Jan 14, 2025 FA Cup
Preston vs Charlton
2:1
Jan 18, 2020 Championship
Preston vs Charlton
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlton Compare

Top Goalscorer Grant K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Preston Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlton 50 / 100
Preston 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlton Preston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Preston conceded in 100% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Charlton scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Preston's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Charlton VS Preston
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlton

(Home)
03 Nov
Charlton
0 : 1
Bolton
31 Oct
Middlesbrough
3 : 0
Charlton
24 Oct
Charlton
1 : 3
Norwich
17 Oct
Watford
2 : 0
Charlton
13 Oct
Burnley
2 : 2
Charlton
Page 1 of 6

Preston

(Away)
03 Nov
Preston
2 : 3
Sheffield Utd
31 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 0
Preston
24 Oct
Preston
1 : 1
West Brom
17 Oct
Wrexham
4 : 1
Preston
13 Oct
Birmingham
4 : 0
Preston
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 14 8 4 2 30:19 28
2 Wolves 14 8 3 3 25:17 27
3 Birmingham 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Stoke City 14 8 2 4 22:17 26
5 Swansea 14 8 2 4 21:16 26
6 West Brom 14 7 4 3 20:15 25
7 Southampton 14 8 4 2 29:14 24
8 West Ham 14 6 5 3 36:21 23
9 Sheffield Utd 14 6 4 4 20:17 22
10 Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 19:16 22
11 QPR 14 5 6 3 22:17 21
12 Norwich 14 6 0 8 27:24 18
13 Millwall 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
14 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 20:22 18
15 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 16:19 18
16 Wrexham 14 4 5 5 17:19 17
17 Bolton 14 5 2 7 19:26 17
18 Cardiff 14 3 6 5 22:23 15
19 Lincoln City 14 4 3 7 14:24 15
20 Watford 14 4 2 8 13:23 14
21 Charlton 14 3 5 6 11:22 14
22 Burnley 14 1 7 6 18:26 10
23 Derby 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
24 Preston 14 1 2 11 12:30 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)