Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Charlton vs Wrexham

England England

Championship 2025/2026 The Valley, London
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Burke R. In: Sichenje C.
Out: Burke R.
17'
Ramsay K.
30' Event
Rathbone O.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Charlton and Wrexham finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wrexham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Charlton
35%
Draws
47%
Wrexham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wrexham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wrexham come out ahead of Charlton on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Wrexham have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Charlton Clean Sheet 19%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlton Wrexham
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Championship
Charlton vs Wrexham
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Championship
Wrexham vs Charlton
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 League One
Wrexham vs Charlton
3:0
Oct 26, 2024 League One
Charlton vs Wrexham
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Wrexham Compare

Top Goalscorer Rathbone O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlton 32 / 100
Wrexham 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlton Wrexham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Charlton scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Wrexham conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Charlton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charlton VS Wrexham
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlton

(Home)
19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1
Charlton
12 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
Portsmouth
09 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
QPR
05 Sept
Stoke City
4 : 0
Charlton
02 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1
Charlton
Page 1 of 6

Wrexham

(Away)
19 Sept
Wrexham
2 : 1
Southampton
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0
Wrexham
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1
Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3
Wrexham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 97:45 95
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 80:47 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 64:49 83
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 82:56 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 72:47 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 70:66 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 71
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 67:59 69
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 63:56 65
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 57:56 64
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 57:59 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 62
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 66:66 60
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 55:62 60
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 61:73 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 55
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 44:58 53
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 42:56 52
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 48:58 51
22 Oxford Utd 46 11 14 21 45:59 47
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 58:68 46
24 Sheffield Wed 46 2 12 32 29:89 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)