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Charlton W vs Chelsea W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL The Valley, London
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bjorn N.
Assist: McCabe K.
10' Event
Malard M.
13' Event
Carpenter E.

AI Match Summary

Chelsea W in this WSL matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelsea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Charlton W
15%
Draws
71%
Chelsea W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chelsea W lately — more wins on the board than Charlton W.
  • Model gives Chelsea W a 71% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chelsea W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Charlton W Clean Sheet 10%
Chelsea W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlton W Chelsea W
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 22
Draws 3 3
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 0.93 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.04 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 WSL
Charlton W vs Chelsea W
0:6
Jan 12, 2025 Women’s FA Cup
Chelsea W vs Charlton W
4:0
Jan 26, 2020 Women’s FA Cup
Charlton W vs Chelsea W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlton W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

Chelsea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Malard M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bjorn N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlton W 10 / 100
Chelsea W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlton W Chelsea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Charlton W scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Chelsea W has conceded goals in 48% of their last 27 outings.

Charlton W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charlton W VS Chelsea W
0.63 Goals Scored 2.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlton W

(Home)
01 Nov
Charlton W
0 : 6
Chelsea W
28 Oct
Charlton W
1 : 2
West Ham W
25 Oct
Birmingham W
1 : 0
Charlton W
21 Oct
Charlton W
2 : 0
Bristol City W
18 Oct
Charlton W
1 : 3
Manchester United W
Page 1 of 6

Chelsea W

(Away)
01 Nov
Charlton W
0 : 6
Chelsea W
28 Oct
Chelsea W
2 : 0
AS Roma W
25 Oct
Crystal Palace W
1 : 3
Chelsea W
18 Oct
Chelsea W
6 : 2
Tottenham W
04 Oct
West Ham W
0 : 3
Chelsea W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea W 8 7 1 0 27:4 22
2 Manchester City W 8 7 1 0 22:10 22
3 London City Lionesses W 8 5 1 2 20:10 16
4 Tottenham W 8 4 1 3 23:17 13
5 Manchester United W 8 3 3 2 9:11 12
6 Brighton W 8 3 2 3 15:11 11
7 Arsenal W 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Everton W 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
9 Aston Villa W 8 2 4 2 10:15 10
10 West Ham W 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
11 Liverpool W 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
12 Birmingham W 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
13 Crystal Palace W 8 1 3 4 7:17 6
14 Charlton W 8 0 0 8 3:25 0
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
Relegation - WSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)