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Charlton W vs Manchester United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL The Valley, London
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Charlton W host Manchester United W in the WSL. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Manchester United W have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Charlton W have conceded 1.7 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Manchester United W slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 24, 2019, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.19 - 2.56) back Manchester United W to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Charlton W
15%
Draws
85%
Manchester United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchester United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manchester United W come out ahead of Charlton W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Manchester United W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Charlton W Clean Sheet 10%
Manchester United W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlton W Manchester United W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2019 WSL 2
Charlton W vs Manchester United W
1:2
Oct 14, 2018 WSL 2
Manchester United W vs Charlton W
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlton W 10 / 100
Manchester United W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlton W Manchester United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester United W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlton W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Manchester United W let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Charlton W VS Manchester United W
0.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlton W

(Home)
04 Oct
Brighton W
5 : 1
Charlton W
30 Sept
Crystal Palace W
3 : 0
Charlton W
26 Sept
Charlton W
0 : 1
Manchester City W
23 Sept
Brighton W
4 : 0
Charlton W
19 Sept
Charlton W
1 : 4
London City Lionesses W
Page 1 of 6

Manchester United W

(Away)
03 Oct
Manchester United W
1 : 0
Liverpool W
30 Sept
Durham W
1 : 5
Manchester United W
27 Sept
Manchester United W
2 : 1
West Ham W
23 Sept
Manchester United W
10 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
19 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 1
Manchester United W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 5 5 0 0 16:6 15
2 Chelsea W 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
3 London City Lionesses W 5 4 0 1 15:5 12
4 Tottenham W 5 3 1 1 16:8 10
5 Everton W 5 3 0 2 4:4 9
6 Liverpool W 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
7 Manchester United W 5 2 1 2 5:9 7
8 Crystal Palace W 5 1 3 1 5:11 6
9 Brighton W 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
10 Arsenal W 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
11 West Ham W 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
12 Aston Villa W 5 0 3 2 4:11 3
13 Birmingham W 5 0 2 3 7:12 2
14 Charlton W 5 0 0 5 2:15 0
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
Relegation - WSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)