Sport Picks

England

FA Cup

Banbury

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chasetown play Banbury in the FA Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chasetown averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Banbury averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Chasetown won 0, Banbury won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 16, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Chasetown and 1.11 for Banbury. This points to a Banbury double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Chasetown

15%

Draws

43%

Banbury

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Banbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Chasetown picked up more points recently compared to Banbury.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Chasetown Clean Sheet 21%

Banbury Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chasetown	Banbury
Matches Played	28	32
Wins	15	15
Draws	2	7
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.5	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.29	1.06

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 FA Cup

Banbury vs Chasetown

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Sep 13, 2025 FA Cup

Chasetown vs Banbury

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chasetown 42 / 100

Banbury 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chasetown Banbury

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Banbury or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chasetown attacking → ← attacking Banbury

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chasetown scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Banbury let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Chasetown went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Banbury lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 52

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38