Sport Picks

Chasetown vs Belper Town Prediction & H2H Stats

England

FA Trophy 2024/2025

Chasetown

Sat, Oct 26, 2024

2 - 1

02:00 PM

Belper Town

Our Tip

Match Events

57'

Cater G.

68'

Burrows C.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Chasetown advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Chasetown

15%

Draws

26%

Belper Town

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chasetown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Chasetown come out ahead of Belper Town on wins alone.
Model gives Chasetown a 59% chance of winning this.
Chasetown have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Chasetown, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Chasetown Clean Sheet 20%

Belper Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chasetown	Belper Town
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	15	11
Draws	2	4
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.64	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.39	1.68
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 FA Trophy

Chasetown vs Belper Town

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chasetown Compare

Top Goalscorer Cater G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Belper Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Burrows C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chasetown 85 / 100

Belper Town 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chasetown Belper Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chasetown Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belper Town has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Chasetown found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Chasetown remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chasetown VS Belper Town

0.88 Goals Scored 1

1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25

50% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 88%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chasetown

(Home)

12 Sept

Loughborough Students

4 : 3

Chasetown

29 Aug

Chasetown

3 : 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

28 Jul

Boldmere St Michaels

1 : 2

Chasetown

16 Sept

Banbury

2 : 1

Chasetown

13 Sept

Chasetown

0 : 0

Banbury

Page 1 of 6

Belper Town

(Away)

05 Sept

Belper Town

0 : 3

Evesham

29 Aug

Wellingborough

2 : 1

Belper Town

20 Sept

Rugby

3 : 2

Belper Town

06 Sept

Belper Town

2 : 1

Newcastle Town

26 Jul

Belper Town

1 : 4

Matlock

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Plymouth Parkway 0

Chichester City 4

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Gosport Borough 5

Taunton Town 1

TBD -

Tonbridge -

Torquay -

TBD -

Truro -

Canvey Island 0

Horsham FC 2

TBD -

Maidstone -

Leamington -

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

TBD -

Rochdale -

Stockton 2

Newton Aycliffe 1

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

TBD -

Oldham -

Altrincham -

TBD -

Curzon Ashton -

TBD -

Macclesfield 7

Ashton United 1

Barnet -

TBD -

Aveley -

TBD -

Hemel Hempstead -

St. Albans -

TBD -

Basford Utd. 2

Anstey Nomads 1

TBD -

Halifax -

Barton 0

Folkestone 3

Hanwell Town 5

Hendon 0

TBD -

Eastleigh -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Halesowen 4

FC Congleton Town 1

Slough Town -

TBD -

Bowers & Pitsea 0

Chatham 1

TBD -

Maidenhead -

Sutton -

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Tamworth -

Hungerford 2

Yate 3

TBD -

Hampton & Richmond -

Dulwich Hamlet 1

Hashtag 2

TBD -

Brackley -

Alfreton -

TBD -

Needham Market -

Spennymoor -

TBD -

South Shields -

Gateshead -

TBD -

Workington 2

Bamber Bridge 3

TBD -

Farsley -

Boston United -

TBD -

Stourbridge 0

Alvechurch 1

Chasetown 2

Belper Town 1

Hereford -

TBD -

Brentwood 4

Cray Valley 3

TBD -

Southend -

Southport -

TBD -

Warrington Town -

Peterborough Sports -

TBD -

Chelmsford -

Tavistock 0

Winchester City 4

Dover Ath. 0

Sittingbourne 2

Enfield Town -

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Chesham -

TBD -

Chippenham Town -

Salisbury -

TBD -

Farnborough -

Aldershot -

TBD -

Wealdstone -

Bath City -

TBD -

Uxbridge 0

Chertsey Town 3

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Yeovil -

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

TBD -

Weymouth -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Stortford 1

Felixstowe & Walton 6

Dorking Wanderers -

TBD -

Eastbourne Borough -

Gloucester City 2

Coleshill Town 3

Biggleswade Town 2

Potters 0

Lewes 3

Ashford United 2

AFC Totton 1

Dorchester 0

Oxford City -

TBD -

Barwell 0

Sporting Khalsa 2

Hadley 4

Hastings 3

Mickleover 1

Telford 2

Braintree -

TBD -

Forest Green -

Chorley -

TBD -

Marine -

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Warrington Rylands 4

Ossett United 0

Clitheroe 1

Gainsborough 4

TBD -

Chester -

Cambridge City 1

Royston Town 2

TBD -

Rushall -

York City -

TBD -

Darlington FC -

TBD -

Buxton -

Woking -

TBD -

Welling -

TBD -

Bristol Manor Farm 1

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Radcliffe -

TBD -

Worksop 2

United of Manchester 0

1/64-finals

Chichester City 2

Worthing FC 3

Gosport Borough 1

Tonbridge 0

Torquay 1

Truro 0

Horsham FC 2

Maidstone 1

Leamington 2

King’s Lynn 1

TBD -

Rochdale -

Stockton 3

Scarborough Athletic 1

TBD -

Oldham -

Altrincham -

TBD -

Curzon Ashton 2

Macclesfield 3

Barnet -

TBD -

Aveley 2

Hemel Hempstead 1

St. Albans 1

Basford Utd. 2

TBD -

Halifax -

Folkestone 0

Hanwell Town 2

TBD -

Eastleigh -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Kidderminster 2

Halesowen 1

Slough Town 2

Chatham 1

TBD -

Maidenhead -

Sutton -

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Tamworth -

Yate 0

Hampton & Richmond 2

Hashtag 3

Brackley 2

Alfreton 3

Needham Market 2

Spennymoor 2

South Shields 1

Gateshead -

TBD -

Bamber Bridge 0

Farsley 1

Boston United -

TBD -

Alvechurch 1

Chasetown 0

Hereford 0

Brentwood 1

TBD -

Southend -

Southport 3

Warrington Town 0

Peterborough Sports 2

Chelmsford 0

Winchester City 1

Sittingbourne 2

Enfield Town 2

Hornchurch 1

Chesham 2

Chippenham Town 0

Salisbury 3

Farnborough 0

Aldershot -

TBD -

Wealdstone -

Bath City 2

Chertsey Town 3

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Yeovil -

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare 2

Weymouth 3

Boreham Wood 2

Felixstowe & Walton 1

Dorking Wanderers 1

Eastbourne Borough 2

Coleshill Town 4

Biggleswade Town 5

Lewes 0

AFC Totton 2

Oxford City 5

Sporting Khalsa 0

Hadley 1

Telford 0

Braintree -

TBD -

Forest Green -

Chorley 3

Marine 1

Scunthorpe 1

Warrington Rylands 2

Gainsborough 1

Chester 0

Royston Town 0

Rushall 1

York City -

TBD -

Darlington FC 1

Buxton 0

Woking -

TBD -

Welling 1

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Radcliffe 3

Worksop 2

1/32-finals

Worthing FC 1

Gosport Borough 2

Torquay 2

Horsham FC 0

Leamington 0

Rochdale 2

Stockton 2

Oldham 0

Altrincham 1

Macclesfield 0

Barnet 2

Aveley 0

Basford Utd. 3

Halifax 2

Hanwell Town 1

Eastleigh 2

AFC Fylde 2

Kidderminster 3

Slough Town 2

Maidenhead 1

Sutton 4

Ebbsfleet 3

Hartlepool 1

Tamworth 2

Hampton & Richmond 3

Hashtag 0

Alfreton 0

Spennymoor 1

Gateshead 8

Farsley 1

Boston United 1

Alvechurch 0

Brentwood 3

Southend 5

Southport 2

Peterborough Sports 1

Sittingbourne 4

Enfield Town 2

Chesham 2

Salisbury 3

Aldershot 3

Wealdstone 1

Chertsey Town 1

Dagenham & Red. 0

Yeovil 1

Weymouth 2

Boreham Wood 1

Eastbourne Borough 0

Biggleswade Town 2

AFC Totton 1

Oxford City 2

Hadley 1

Braintree 1

Forest Green 2

Chorley 3

Warrington Rylands 2

Gainsborough 2

Rushall 1

York City 3

Darlington FC 1

Woking 4

Havant & Waterlooville 3

Solihull Moors 1

Radcliffe 2

1/16-finals

Worthing FC 5

Torquay 1

Rochdale 1

Stockton 0

Altrincham 3

Barnet 1

Basford Utd. 1

Eastleigh 4

Kidderminster 4

Slough Town 0

Sutton 1

Tamworth 0

Hampton & Richmond 0

Spennymoor 2

Gateshead 1

Boston United 3

Southend 1

Southport 0

Sittingbourne 2

Salisbury 1

Aldershot 8

Chertsey Town 0

Weymouth 1

Boreham Wood 2

Biggleswade Town 0

Oxford City 3

Forest Green 2

Chorley 0

Gainsborough 1

York City 0

Woking 4

Radcliffe 0

1/8-finals

Worthing FC 1

Rochdale 2

Altrincham 1

Eastleigh 0

Kidderminster 0

Sutton 1

Spennymoor 3

Boston United 2

Southend 0

Sittingbourne 1

Aldershot 2

Boreham Wood 0

Oxford City 1

Forest Green 0

Gainsborough 0

Woking 3

Quarter-finals

Rochdale 2

Altrincham 0

Sutton 0

Spennymoor 2

Sittingbourne 0

Aldershot 3

Oxford City 2

Woking 3

Semi-finals

Rochdale 2

Spennymoor 3

Aldershot 2

Woking 1

Final

Spennymoor 0

Aldershot 3

Chasetown vs Belper Town Prediction & H2H Stats

England

Chasetown

Belper Town

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Chasetown Compare

Belper Town Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Chasetown

Belper Town

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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