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Chateauroux vs Hyeres - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
Chateauroux Logo

Chateauroux

0 - 1
FT
Hyeres Logo

Hyeres

Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Kouyate M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hyeres in this National 1 - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hyeres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Chateauroux
35%
Draws
43%
Hyeres
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hyeres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Chateauroux haven't matched Hyeres's recent run of results.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 17%
Hyeres Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chateauroux Hyeres
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 10 12
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Chateauroux vs Hyeres
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chateauroux Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Hyeres Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouyate M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chateauroux 31 / 100
Hyeres 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chateauroux Hyeres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hyeres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hyeres's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Chateauroux scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Chateauroux went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chateauroux VS Hyeres
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chateauroux

(Home)
06 Nov
Chateauroux
1 : 1
Nimes
31 Oct
Saint Priest
2 : 1
Chateauroux
16 Oct
Chateauroux
4 : 7
Rumilly Vallieres
02 Oct
Istres
0 : 0
Chateauroux
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
Page 1 of 6

Hyeres

(Away)
11 Nov
Bourges 18
2 : 1
Hyeres
07 Nov
Hyeres
0 : 0
GOAL FC
31 Oct
Toulon
0 : 0
Hyeres
17 Oct
Hyeres
0 : 0
Andrezieux
03 Oct
Nimes
1 : 1
Hyeres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 Rumilly Vallieres 9 6 0 3 31:14 18
3 Toulon 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Frejus Saint Raphael 9 5 1 3 19:13 16
5 Hauts Lyonnais 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
6 Troyes II 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
7 Hyeres 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
8 Touraine 8 4 3 1 8:4 15
9 Andrezieux 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Saint Priest 10 2 5 3 12:17 11
11 GOAL FC 8 2 4 2 11:9 10
12 Limonest 9 1 5 3 10:14 8
13 Lyon - La Duchere 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
14 Bourges 18 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
15 Canet Roussillon 9 1 3 5 4:15 6
16 Istres 9 0 5 4 2:14 5
17 Chateauroux 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)