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Chateauroux vs Hyeres

France France

National 1 - Group C Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
Chateauroux Logo

Chateauroux

0 - 1
FT
Hyeres Logo

Hyeres

Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Kouyate M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hyeres in this National 1 - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hyeres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Chateauroux
30%
Draws
61%
Hyeres
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hyeres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Chateauroux haven't matched Hyeres's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Hyeres taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 18%
Hyeres Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chateauroux Hyeres
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Chateauroux vs Hyeres
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chateauroux Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Hyeres Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouyate M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chateauroux 20 / 100
Hyeres 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chateauroux Hyeres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hyeres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chateauroux's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hyeres let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Chateauroux went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chateauroux VS Hyeres
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chateauroux

(Home)
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
05 Sept
Touraine
1 : 1
Chateauroux
28 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Hyeres
22 Aug
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0
Chateauroux
01 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Bourges
Page 1 of 6

Hyeres

(Away)
12 Sept
Rumilly Vallieres
0 : 3
Hyeres
05 Sept
Hyeres
3 : 0
Istres
28 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Hyeres
21 Aug
Hyeres
2 : 2
Limonest
16 May
Hyeres
4 : 1
Saint Priest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Hyeres 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Toulon 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
4 Hauts Lyonnais 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
5 Andrezieux 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
6 Rumilly Vallieres 4 2 0 2 11:6 6
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
8 Touraine 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
9 Limonest 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Saint Priest 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
11 Troyes II 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
12 GOAL FC 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
13 Bourges 18 3 0 3 0 1:1 3
14 Chateauroux 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
15 Istres 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 Canet Roussillon 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
17 Lyon - La Duchere 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)