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Chateauroux vs Limonest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Singoura M.

AI Match Summary

Limonest in this National 1 - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Limonest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Chateauroux
35%
Draws
39%
Limonest
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Limonest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Chateauroux haven't matched Limonest's recent run of results.
  • Chateauroux are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 18%
Limonest Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chateauroux Limonest
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.96 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Chateauroux vs Limonest
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chateauroux Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Limonest Compare

Top Goalscorer Singoura M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chateauroux 36 / 100
Limonest 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chateauroux Limonest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Limonest's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Chateauroux scored in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Chateauroux has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chateauroux VS Limonest
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chateauroux

(Home)
06 Nov
Chateauroux
1 : 1
Nimes
31 Oct
Saint Priest
2 : 1
Chateauroux
16 Oct
Chateauroux
4 : 7
Rumilly Vallieres
02 Oct
Istres
0 : 0
Chateauroux
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
Page 1 of 6

Limonest

(Away)
11 Nov
Toulon
1 : 0
Limonest
06 Nov
Limonest
2 : 2
Andrezieux
31 Oct
Nimes
2 : 2
Limonest
17 Oct
Limonest
1 : 1
Saint Priest
03 Oct
Rumilly Vallieres
4 : 1
Limonest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 Rumilly Vallieres 9 6 0 3 31:14 18
3 Toulon 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Frejus Saint Raphael 9 5 1 3 19:13 16
5 Hauts Lyonnais 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
6 Troyes II 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
7 Hyeres 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
8 Touraine 8 4 3 1 8:4 15
9 Andrezieux 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Saint Priest 10 2 5 3 12:17 11
11 GOAL FC 8 2 4 2 11:9 10
12 Limonest 9 1 5 3 10:14 8
13 Lyon - La Duchere 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
14 Bourges 18 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
15 Canet Roussillon 9 1 3 5 4:15 6
16 Istres 9 0 5 4 2:14 5
17 Chateauroux 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)