Sport Picks

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Chateauroux vs Limonest

France France

National 1 - Group C Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Singoura M.

AI Match Summary

Limonest in this National 1 - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Limonest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Chateauroux
30%
Draws
47%
Limonest
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Limonest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Chateauroux haven't matched Limonest's recent run of results.
  • Chateauroux are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 18%
Limonest Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chateauroux Limonest
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.96 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Chateauroux vs Limonest
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chateauroux Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Limonest Compare

Top Goalscorer Singoura M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chateauroux 41 / 100
Limonest 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chateauroux Limonest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Limonest's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: Limonest registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Chateauroux found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Chateauroux VS Limonest
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chateauroux

(Home)
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
05 Sept
Touraine
1 : 1
Chateauroux
28 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Hyeres
22 Aug
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0
Chateauroux
01 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Bourges
Page 1 of 6

Limonest

(Away)
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
29 Aug
Limonest
0 : 1
Touraine
21 Aug
Hyeres
2 : 2
Limonest
16 May
Limonest
2 : 3
Nimes
09 May
Creteil
2 : 0
Limonest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Hyeres 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Toulon 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
4 Hauts Lyonnais 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
5 Andrezieux 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
6 Rumilly Vallieres 4 2 0 2 11:6 6
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
8 Touraine 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
9 Limonest 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Saint Priest 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
11 Troyes II 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
12 GOAL FC 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
13 Bourges 18 3 0 3 0 1:1 3
14 Chateauroux 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
15 Istres 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 Canet Roussillon 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
17 Lyon - La Duchere 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)