Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chateauroux vs Lucon

France France

National 2015/2016 Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Sido F.
45' Event
Pessalli
46' Event
Pessalli

AI Match Summary

The National 2015/2016 game between Chateauroux and Lucon finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lucon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chateauroux
30%
Draws
23%
Lucon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chateauroux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lucon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Chateauroux taking it.
  • Regular National 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Lucon have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 68%
Lucon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chateauroux Lucon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2016 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Lucon
0:3
Sep 25, 2015 Ligue 3
Lucon vs Chateauroux
3:2
Jan 3, 2015 Coupe de France
Lucon vs Chateauroux
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chateauroux Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Lucon Compare

Top Goalscorer Pessalli
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sido F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chateauroux 95 / 100
Lucon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chateauroux Lucon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chateauroux Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucon has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Lucon lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Chateauroux's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Chateauroux VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chateauroux

(Home)
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
05 Sept
Touraine
1 : 1
Chateauroux
28 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Hyeres
22 Aug
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0
Chateauroux
01 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Bourges
Page 1 of 7

Lucon

(Away)
13 Nov
Lucon
0 : 2
Laval
03 Jun
Lucon
3 : 3
Les Herbiers
27 May
Beziers
1 : 0
Lucon
13 May
Lucon
1 : 5
Orleans
06 May
Dunkerque
5 : 1
Lucon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Strasbourg 34 15 13 6 35:19 58
2 Orleans 34 14 14 6 50:37 56
3 Amiens SC 34 14 13 7 44:35 55
4 Athletico Marseille 34 15 9 10 50:43 54
5 Chateauroux 34 14 10 10 52:45 52
6 Dunkerque 34 12 11 11 42:42 47
7 Avranches 34 10 16 8 44:36 46
8 Boulogne 34 12 10 12 50:45 46
9 Chambly 34 11 11 12 46:40 44
10 Beziers 34 11 11 12 35:38 44
11 Lucon 34 11 11 12 45:50 44
12 Sedan 34 10 13 11 31:34 43
13 Borgo 34 10 13 11 29:33 43
14 Belfort 34 9 14 11 26:32 41
15 Les Herbiers 34 8 15 11 44:51 39
16 Colmar 34 10 9 15 39:46 37
17 Epinal 34 6 12 16 39:53 30
18 Frejus Saint Raphael 34 4 15 15 22:44 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)