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Chateauroux vs Nimes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Koffi P.
52' Event
Toure B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 1 - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Chateauroux
35%
Draws
49%
Nimes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nimes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Nimes have won more games recently than Chateauroux.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular National 1 - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 10%
Nimes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chateauroux Nimes
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 3 17
Draws 10 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.96 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Chateauroux vs Nimes
1:1
Jan 24, 2025 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Nimes
3:2
Aug 23, 2024 Ligue 3
Nimes vs Chateauroux
1:0
Feb 16, 2024 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Nimes
0:1
Sep 8, 2023 Ligue 3
Nimes vs Chateauroux
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chateauroux Compare

Top Goalscorer Koffi P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Nimes Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chateauroux 30 / 100
Nimes 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chateauroux Nimes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nimes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nimes conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Chateauroux scored in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Chateauroux remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chateauroux VS Nimes
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chateauroux

(Home)
06 Nov
Chateauroux
1 : 1
Nimes
31 Oct
Saint Priest
2 : 1
Chateauroux
16 Oct
Chateauroux
4 : 7
Rumilly Vallieres
02 Oct
Istres
0 : 0
Chateauroux
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
Page 1 of 6

Nimes

(Away)
06 Nov
Chateauroux
1 : 1
Nimes
31 Oct
Nimes
2 : 2
Limonest
17 Oct
Touraine
1 : 0
Nimes
03 Oct
Nimes
1 : 1
Hyeres
19 Sept
Hauts Lyonnais
1 : 3
Nimes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 Rumilly Vallieres 9 6 0 3 31:14 18
3 Toulon 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Frejus Saint Raphael 9 5 1 3 19:13 16
5 Hauts Lyonnais 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
6 Troyes II 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
7 Hyeres 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
8 Touraine 8 4 3 1 8:4 15
9 Andrezieux 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Saint Priest 10 2 5 3 12:17 11
11 GOAL FC 8 2 4 2 11:9 10
12 Limonest 9 1 5 3 10:14 8
13 Lyon - La Duchere 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
14 Bourges 18 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
15 Canet Roussillon 9 1 3 5 4:15 6
16 Istres 9 0 5 4 2:14 5
17 Chateauroux 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)