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Chateauroux vs Rumilly Vallieres - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kassy B.
8' Event
Charpentier J.
15' Event
Said A.

AI Match Summary

Rumilly Vallieres in this National 1 - Group C matchup, with the score ending 4-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rumilly Vallieres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Chateauroux
20%
Draws
69%
Rumilly Vallieres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rumilly Vallieres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Chateauroux haven't matched Rumilly Vallieres's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rumilly Vallieres's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 10%
Rumilly Vallieres Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chateauroux Rumilly Vallieres
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Chateauroux vs Rumilly Vallieres
4:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chateauroux Compare

Top Goalscorer Charpentier J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kassy B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Rumilly Vallieres Compare

Top Goalscorer Said A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Fouley Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chateauroux 10 / 100
Rumilly Vallieres 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chateauroux Rumilly Vallieres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rumilly Vallieres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rumilly Vallieres's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 11.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Chateauroux scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Chateauroux has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chateauroux VS Rumilly Vallieres
0.63 Goals Scored 3.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chateauroux

(Home)
06 Nov
Chateauroux
1 : 1
Nimes
31 Oct
Saint Priest
2 : 1
Chateauroux
16 Oct
Chateauroux
4 : 7
Rumilly Vallieres
02 Oct
Istres
0 : 0
Chateauroux
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
Page 1 of 6

Rumilly Vallieres

(Away)
11 Nov
Saint Priest
2 : 4
Rumilly Vallieres
31 Oct
Rumilly Vallieres
5 : 0
Istres
16 Oct
Chateauroux
4 : 7
Rumilly Vallieres
03 Oct
Rumilly Vallieres
4 : 1
Limonest
19 Sept
Touraine
1 : 0
Rumilly Vallieres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 Rumilly Vallieres 9 6 0 3 31:14 18
3 Toulon 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Frejus Saint Raphael 9 5 1 3 19:13 16
5 Hauts Lyonnais 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
6 Troyes II 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
7 Hyeres 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
8 Touraine 8 4 3 1 8:4 15
9 Andrezieux 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Saint Priest 10 2 5 3 12:17 11
11 GOAL FC 8 2 4 2 11:9 10
12 Limonest 9 1 5 3 10:14 8
13 Lyon - La Duchere 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
14 Bourges 18 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
15 Canet Roussillon 9 1 3 5 4:15 6
16 Istres 9 0 5 4 2:14 5
17 Chateauroux 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)