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Chatellerault vs Lucon

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CFA - Group C 2008/2009
Chatellerault Logo

Chatellerault

2 - 1
FT
Lucon Logo

Lucon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group C 2008/2009 game between Chatellerault and Lucon finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chatellerault.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Chatellerault
15%
Draws
8%
Lucon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chatellerault

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lucon come out ahead of Chatellerault on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chatellerault's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular CFA - Group C 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Chatellerault Clean Sheet 11%
Lucon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatellerault Lucon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Lucon vs Chatellerault
1:1
Aug 16, 2008 National 1 - Group C
Chatellerault vs Lucon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatellerault 83 / 100
Lucon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatellerault Lucon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucon let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Chatellerault scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Chatellerault went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chatellerault VS Lucon
1.33 Goals Scored 2
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chatellerault

(Home)
19 Nov
Chatellerault
0 : 1
Avoine
29 Oct
Chatellerault
4 : 2
SA Merignac
17 Nov
Chatellerault
0 : 2
Challans
30 May
Chatellerault
3 : 2
Bergerac
23 May
Luzenac
1 : 3
Chatellerault
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Lucon

(Away)
13 Nov
Lucon
0 : 2
Laval
03 Jun
Lucon
3 : 3
Les Herbiers
27 May
Beziers
1 : 0
Lucon
13 May
Lucon
1 : 5
Orleans
06 May
Dunkerque
5 : 1
Lucon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzenac 34 20 9 5 59:26 103
2 Moulins 34 18 8 8 56:41 96
3 Pau 34 17 9 8 42:25 94
4 Fontenay 34 16 9 9 37:32 91
5 Moulins-Yzeure 34 15 9 10 60:43 88
6 Bordeaux II 34 14 10 10 41:35 86
7 Le Mans II 34 12 12 10 35:33 82
8 Romorantin 34 13 10 11 49:49 82
9 Lucon 34 12 11 11 39:37 81
10 Aurillac 34 10 14 10 48:44 78
11 Colomiers 34 9 14 11 33:32 75
12 Montlucon 34 9 12 13 43:54 73
13 Balma 34 9 9 16 47:54 70
14 Albi 34 10 6 18 27:42 70
15 Genets 34 9 8 17 35:53 69
16 Chatellerault 34 7 13 14 50:66 68
17 Stade Bordelais 34 7 11 16 27:47 66
18 Bergerac 34 4 16 14 32:47 62
Promotion - National 2009/2010 (Main)