Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chatellerault vs SA Merignac

France France

Coupe de France 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Zitouni N.
34' Event
Kouhous I.
39' Event
Ramdane A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Chatellerault advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Chatellerault
15%
Draws
42%
SA Merignac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chatellerault

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chatellerault come out ahead of SA Merignac on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Chatellerault have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chatellerault, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Chatellerault Clean Sheet 12%
SA Merignac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatellerault SA Merignac
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 7 4
Draws 10 0
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.47 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.73 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2022 Coupe de France
Chatellerault vs SA Merignac
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chatellerault Compare

Top Goalscorer Zitouni N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramdane A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

SA Merignac Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouhous I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Insa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatellerault 30 / 100
SA Merignac 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatellerault SA Merignac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Chatellerault scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Chatellerault remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

SA Merignac let in goals in 57% of their last 7 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chatellerault VS SA Merignac
2 Goals Scored 1.71
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Chatellerault

(Home)
19 Nov
Chatellerault
0 : 1
Avoine
29 Oct
Chatellerault
4 : 2
SA Merignac
17 Nov
Chatellerault
0 : 2
Challans
30 May
Chatellerault
3 : 2
Bergerac
23 May
Luzenac
1 : 3
Chatellerault
Page 1 of 6

SA Merignac

(Away)
20 Dec
SA Merignac
0 : 1
Istres
29 Nov
SA Merignac
1 : 0
Pau
16 Nov
SA Merignac
1 : 0
Colomiers
20 Dec
SA Merignac
0 : 1
Laval
30 Nov
SA Merignac
2 : 1
Beaumont Saint-Cyr
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1
Gandrange 0
Geispolsheim 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont -
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Sarre Union 0
Thaon 3
Hombourg-Haut 0
Sochaux 3
Chambly 1
Amiens SC 2
Golden Lion 1
Aiglon Lamentin 2
Nantes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Havre Caucriauville 0
AF Virois 4
Saint-Malo 2
Caen 3
Grand Santi 2
Le Geldar 1
Evreux 1
Grand Quevilly 0
Armentieres 0
Marnaval 2
Prix les Mezieres 0
Bastia 1
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orvault 2
Laval 1
Sene 0
Chataigneraie 3
Fougeres 3
Le Mans 2
Chartres-de-Bretagne 0
Avranches 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brest -
Paris 15 1
Linas-Montlhery 2
Liancourt Clermont 0
Paris 13 Atletico 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Lescar 0
EBBE 2
Toulon 1
Aubagne FC 2
Chambery 2
Bourgoin Jallieu 1
Rumilly Vallieres 3
St. Louis Neuweg 0
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raon L Etape 1
Metz 2
Heillecourt 0
Epinal 4
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Troyes -
Agde 2
Colomiers 3
Salinieres 0
Pau 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thiers 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
Andrezieux 0
Chatellerault 4
SA Merignac 2
Chauray 0
Avoine 1
Marcoussis Nozay 3
USLPV 2
Pont Sainte Maxence 0
Vierzon Foot 2
Vitre 0
Ergue-Gaberic 1
Plabennec 1
Cholet 0
Plouvorn 1
Sable 0
Vannes 2
Concarneau 1
Illzach Modenheim 1
Grenoble 4
ES Tarentaise 0
Villefranche 5
Montauban 3
Ales 2
Nimes 3
Borgo 0
St Esteve Perpignan 3
Narbonne 1
Hyeres 3
Alberes Argeles 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Angouleme CFC 1
Trelissac 2
Stade Bordelais 0
Bordeaux 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
U.S. Pays de Cassel 2
Chaumontois 1
Lucciana 0
JA Drancy 1
Fleury-Merogis 1
Reims Ste Anne 2
FC Bondues 0
Wasquehal 2
Merpins 0
Lege Capferret 1
Stade Poitevin 0
Chateauroux 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
Chamalieres 2
Gueugnon 1
Velay 2
Macon 3
Bourges 18 1
St Apollinaire 0
Saint-Pryve 2
Dijon 1
Saint-Doulchard 1
Cosne US 3
Les Ulis 1
Paris FC 3
Feignies-Aulnoye 2
Escaudain 1
Valenciennes 2
Red Star 1
Haguenau 1
Jura Dolois 0
Venus 0
Belfort 3
Olympique Marcquois 3
Cambrai 1
St Quentin 2
Hienghene Sport 1
Villerupt Thil 3
FC de Villers les Nancy 1
Reipertswiller 3
Nancy 2
Saint Priest 0
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Annecy 8
Diables Noirs 1
Bellevue Nantes 2
Basse Goulaine 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
Lannion FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Venissieux FC 0
Limonest 2
Jura Sud 3
Vaulx 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Ajaccio -
Alencon 4
Le Havre 3
St Gregoire 0
Stade Pontivyen 1
Mareuil SC 1
Les Herbiers 6
Auray 0
Guingamp 2
CMS Oissel 2
Poissy 1
Teteghem 1
Loon Plage 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
NDC Angers 2
Granville 4
L'Etoile 2
Baie Mahault 1
Biars-Bretenoux 1
Bergerac 2
Merignac 0
Niort 1
Eperlecques 0
Bethune 1
Beauvais 0
Dunkerque 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Auxerre -
F.C. Onet Le Chateau 2
Feurs 1
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 0
RC Grasse 2
Aubervilliers 2
Quevilly 1
Saint-Pierroise 0
Tamponnaise 1
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roche Saint-Genest 2
Savigneux Montbrison 1
St Etienne 0
Rodez 1
1/64-finals
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 1
TBD -
Clermont -
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Thaon 3
Sochaux 2
Amiens SC 10
Aiglon Lamentin 0
Nantes -
TBD -
AF Virois 3
Caen 0
Grand Santi 0
Evreux 3
Marnaval 0
Bastia 3
Lorient -
TBD -
Orvault 0
Chataigneraie 1
Fougeres 0
Avranches 1
TBD -
Brest -
Linas-Montlhery 2
Paris 13 Atletico 1
TBD -
Lens -
EBBE 1
Aubagne FC 4
Chambery 2
Rumilly Vallieres 1
Lyon -
TBD -
Metz 1
Epinal 0
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
Troyes -
Colomiers 0
Pau 1
TBD -
Montpellier -
Nice -
TBD -
Thiers 2
Le Puy-en-Velay 3
Chatellerault 0
Avoine 1
Marcoussis Nozay 0
Vierzon Foot 6
Ergue-Gaberic 1
Plabennec 2
Plouvorn 0
Vannes 1
Grenoble 2
Villefranche 0
Montauban 0
Nimes 4
St Esteve Perpignan 1
Hyeres 2
TBD -
Marseille -
Trelissac 2
Bordeaux 3
TBD -
Rennes -
U.S. Pays de Cassel 2
JA Drancy 1
Reims Ste Anne 0
Wasquehal 1
Lege Capferret 1
Chateauroux 4
TBD -
PSG -
Chamalieres 4
Macon 1
Bourges 18 2
Saint-Pryve 1
Cosne US 0
Paris FC 2
Feignies-Aulnoye 0
Valenciennes 3
Haguenau 1
Belfort 2
Olympique Marcquois 0
St Quentin 1
Villerupt Thil 2
Reipertswiller 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Annecy 3
Bellevue Nantes 0
Lannion FC 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
Limonest 1
Jura Sud 2
TBD -
AC Ajaccio -
Alencon 0
Stade Pontivyen 1
Les Herbiers 3
Guingamp 2
CMS Oissel 1
Loon Plage 2
TBD -
Reims -
Granville 6
L'Etoile 0
Bergerac 0
Niort 1
Bethune 0
Dunkerque 4
TBD -
Auxerre -
F.C. Onet Le Chateau 0
RC Grasse 1
Aubervilliers 0
Tamponnaise 1
Monaco -
TBD -
Roche Saint-Genest 0
Rodez 1
1/32-finals
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1
Clermont 0
Strasbourg 0
Angers 1
Thaon 1
Amiens SC 0
Nantes 2
AF Virois 0
Evreux 1
Bastia 2
Lorient 6
Chataigneraie 0
Avranches 0
Brest 2
Linas-Montlhery 0
Lens 2
Aubagne FC 1
Chambery 3
Lyon 2
Metz 1
Lille 2
Troyes 0
Pau 2
Montpellier 1
Nice 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Avoine 1
Vierzon Foot 2
Plabennec 2
Vannes 0
Grenoble 1
Nimes 0
Hyeres 0
Marseille 2
Bordeaux 1
Rennes 2
U.S. Pays de Cassel 2
Wasquehal 1
Chateauroux 1
PSG 3
Chamalieres 1
Bourges 18 0
Paris FC 3
Valenciennes 1
Belfort 3
St Quentin 1
Villerupt Thil 1
Annecy 6
Lannion FC 1
Toulouse 7
Jura Sud 1
AC Ajaccio 2
Stade Pontivyen 1
Les Herbiers 4
Loon Plage 0
Reims 7
Granville 0
Niort 3
Dunkerque 2
Auxerre 3
RC Grasse 1
Tamponnaise 0
Monaco 2
Rodez 3
1/16-finals
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 0
Angers 1
Thaon 0
Nantes 1
Bastia 1
Lorient 2
Brest 1
Lens 3
Chambery 0
Lyon 3
Lille 2
Pau 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Vierzon Foot 1
Plabennec 0
Grenoble 1
Marseille 1
Rennes 0
U.S. Pays de Cassel 0
PSG 7
Chamalieres 0
Paris FC 4
Belfort 1
Annecy 2
Toulouse 2
AC Ajaccio 0
Les Herbiers 0
Reims 3
Niort 0
Auxerre 4
RC Grasse 0
Rodez 1
1/8-finals
Angers 1
Nantes 2
Lorient 1
Lens 2
Lyon 3
Lille 2
Vierzon Foot 0
Grenoble 1
Marseille 2
PSG 1
Paris FC 1
Annecy 2
Toulouse 3
Reims 1
Auxerre 2
Rodez 3
Quarter-finals
Nantes 2
Lens 1
Lyon 2
Grenoble 1
Marseille 2
Annecy 3
Toulouse 6
Rodez 1
Semi-finals
Nantes 1
Lyon 0
Annecy 1
Toulouse 2
Final
Nantes 1
Toulouse 5