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Chatham vs Leatherhead Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Tue, Oct 6, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chatham host Leatherhead in the Isthmian League Premier Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Leatherhead have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Chatham have conceded 1.22 and scored 1.84. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.50, favoring Leatherhead. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chatham
20%
Draws
44%
Leatherhead
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leatherhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leatherhead come out ahead of Chatham on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chatham Clean Sheet 16%
Leatherhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatham Leatherhead
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 15 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.84 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatham 31 / 100
Leatherhead 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatham Leatherhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leatherhead Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chatham scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Leatherhead let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Chatham has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chatham VS Leatherhead
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chatham

(Home)
26 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
3 : 1
Chatham
19 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 1
Chatham
15 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
2 : 1
Chatham
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
05 Sept
Egham Town
0 : 4
Chatham
Page 1 of 7

Leatherhead

(Away)
26 Sept
Leatherhead
3 : 2
Ramsgate
22 Sept
Three Bridges
3 : 3
Leatherhead
19 Sept
Kingstonian
0 : 1
Leatherhead
15 Sept
Leatherhead
0 : 0
Whyteleafe
12 Sept
Aveley
1 : 2
Leatherhead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dartford 9 7 0 2 15:9 21
2 Enfield Town 8 6 0 2 23:11 18
3 Welling 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
4 Carshalton 9 6 0 3 15:13 18
5 Dulwich Hamlet 8 5 1 2 18:9 16
6 Lewes 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
7 Leatherhead 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
8 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
9 Ramsgate 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
10 Eastbourne Borough 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
11 Cray Wanderers 8 3 3 2 18:12 12
12 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
13 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
14 Burgess Hill 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
15 Aveley 9 3 1 5 16:16 10
16 Brentwood 9 3 0 6 15:16 9
17 Maldon & Tiptree 9 3 0 6 13:26 9
18 Cheshunt 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
19 Whyteleafe 9 1 3 5 11:19 6
20 Whitehawk 9 1 2 6 10:21 5
21 Three Bridges 9 1 2 6 16:28 5
22 Stanway Rovers 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)