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Chatham vs Lewes

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Allen B.
48' Event
Ranger N.
86' Event
Unwin B.

AI Match Summary

Chatham in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chatham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Chatham
15%
Draws
26%
Lewes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chatham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Chatham have won more games recently than Lewes.
  • Win probability leans Chatham's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Chatham Clean Sheet 68%
Lewes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatham Lewes
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.04 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Lewes
3:2
Apr 25, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Lewes
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Chatham
0:2
Nov 2, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Lewes
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Chatham
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chatham Compare

Top Goalscorer Allen B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ranger N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer Unwin B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatham 50 / 100
Lewes 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatham Lewes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chatham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chatham found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Lewes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chatham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chatham VS Lewes
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chatham

(Home)
19 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 1
Chatham
15 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
2 : 1
Chatham
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
05 Sept
Egham Town
0 : 4
Chatham
31 Aug
Dartford
1 : 0
Chatham
Page 1 of 6

Lewes

(Away)
19 Sept
Cheshunt
3 : 1
Lewes
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
08 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 0
Lewes
05 Sept
Lewes
2 : 2
Cray Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)