Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chatham vs Lewes

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Allen B.
48' Event
Ranger N.
86' Event
Unwin B.

AI Match Summary

Chatham in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chatham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Chatham
33%
Draws
40%
Lewes
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lewes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Chatham have won more games recently than Lewes.
  • Win probability leans Lewes's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Chatham Clean Sheet 20%
Lewes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatham Lewes
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 2.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Lewes
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Chatham
0:2
Nov 2, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Lewes
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Chatham
2:0
Feb 17, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Chatham
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chatham Compare

Top Goalscorer Allen B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ranger N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer Unwin B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatham 28 / 100
Lewes 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatham Lewes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chatham found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Lewes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Lewes's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chatham VS Lewes
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chatham

(Home)
01 Aug
Chatham
0 : 3
Maidstone
18 Jul
Chatham
1 : 2
Margate
07 Jul
Chatham
0 : 2
Herne Bay
04 Jul
Chatham
2 : 2
Slough Town
02 Jul
Chatham
3 : 0
Erith & Belvedere
Page 1 of 7

Lewes

(Away)
25 Jul
Lewes
1 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
18 Jul
Lewes
2 : 1
Hastings
25 Apr
Chatham
2 : 1
Lewes
18 Apr
Lewes
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
11 Apr
Cray Wanderers
3 : 0
Lewes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)