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Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Nzala A.
27' Event
Cracknell B.
48' Event
Lyons J.

AI Match Summary

Wingate & Finchley in this Isthmian League Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wingate & Finchley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Chatham
20%
Draws
46%
Wingate & Finchley
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wingate & Finchley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chatham lately — more wins on the board than Wingate & Finchley.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chatham Clean Sheet 16%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatham Wingate & Finchley
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley
2:3
Apr 11, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley
4:0
Sep 6, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Chatham
0:3
Jan 11, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley
3:1
Nov 19, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Chatham
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chatham Compare

Top Goalscorer Lyons J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evans O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Wingate & Finchley Compare

Top Goalscorer Nzala A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cracknell B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatham 31 / 100
Wingate & Finchley 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatham Wingate & Finchley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wingate & Finchley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chatham scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Wingate & Finchley conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Chatham remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chatham VS Wingate & Finchley
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chatham

(Home)
03 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0
Chatham
26 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
3 : 1
Chatham
19 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 1
Chatham
15 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
2 : 1
Chatham
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
Page 1 of 7

Wingate & Finchley

(Away)
06 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 3
Bedford
03 Oct
Bedford
2 : 2
Wingate & Finchley
26 Sept
Real Bedford
0 : 3
Wingate & Finchley
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1
Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Welling 10 8 0 2 20:9 24
2 Enfield Town 9 7 0 2 25:12 21
3 Dartford 10 7 0 3 16:11 21
4 Carshalton 11 7 0 4 18:19 21
5 Lewes 10 6 1 3 15:11 19
6 Ramsgate 10 5 1 4 23:14 16
7 Dulwich Hamlet 8 5 1 2 18:9 16
8 Eastbourne Borough 9 5 1 3 18:11 16
9 Leatherhead 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
10 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
11 Burgess Hill 8 3 4 1 15:10 13
12 Cray Wanderers 8 3 3 2 18:12 12
13 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
14 Cheshunt 10 2 5 3 9:13 11
15 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
16 Aveley 10 3 1 6 17:18 10
17 Brentwood 9 3 0 6 15:16 9
18 Maldon & Tiptree 11 3 0 8 14:31 9
19 Whyteleafe 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
20 Three Bridges 9 1 2 6 16:28 5
21 Whitehawk 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
22 Stanway Rovers 9 1 1 7 7:23 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)