Sport Picks

England

Women's National League South 2022/2023

London Bees W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Women's National League South 2022/2023 encounter between Chatham W and London Bees W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Chatham W averages 1.4 goals scored and 2.7 conceded in recent matches. London Bees W shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 3.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Chatham W, 1 wins for London Bees W, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 24.11.24 ended in a 3:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 3.13 for Chatham W and 2.19 for London Bees W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Chatham W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Chatham W

23%

Draws

35%

London Bees W

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Chatham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Chatham W picked up more points recently compared to London Bees W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.13 vs 2.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 72%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Chatham W Clean Sheet 10%

London Bees W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chatham W	London Bees W
Matches Played	35	34
Wins	9	9
Draws	7	4
Losses	19	21
Goals Scored	1.37	1.41
Goals Conceded	2.71	3.12
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

24.11.24 Women’s FA Cup

London Bees W vs Chatham W

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

3:2

13.03.24 Women's National League South

London Bees W vs Chatham W

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

10.10.23 Women's National League South

Chatham W vs London Bees W

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

09.04.23 Women's National League South

Chatham W vs London Bees W

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

16.10.22 Women's National League South

London Bees W vs Chatham W

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Chatham W

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

London Bees W

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatham W 40 / 100

London Bees W 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chatham W London Bees W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chatham W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.4%

1.52

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Chatham W 46%

London Bees W 28%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Chatham W 40%

London Bees W 37%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Chatham W 42%

London Bees W 35%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Chatham W 44%

London Bees W 33%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Chatham W 38%

London Bees W 39%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Chatham W 48%

London Bees W 40%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chatham W attacking → ← attacking London Bees W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chatham W have found the net in 63% of their last 35 matches.

London Bees W have conceded at least one goal in 82% of their last 34 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.

Chatham W remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

London Bees W suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 31

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Watford W	22	17	2	3	65:17	53
2	Ipswich W	22	17	2	3	48:11	53
3	Oxford Utd W	22	16	3	3	53:15	51
4	Portsmouth W	22	15	2	5	44:20	47
5	Milton Keynes Dons W	22	9	3	10	38:42	30
6	Billericay W	22	8	4	10	37:41	28
7	Chatham W	22	8	4	10	23:29	28
8	Cheltenham W	22	7	4	11	29:50	25
9	London Bees W	22	7	2	13	22:41	23
10	Plymouth W	22	6	1	15	23:45	19
11	Bridgwater United W	22	3	5	14	20:43	14
12	Haywards Heath W	22	1	4	17	13:61	7