Sport Picks

USA

USL Cup CHI Memorial Stadium

Birmingham Legion

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chattanooga Red Wolves play Birmingham Legion in the USL Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chattanooga Red Wolves averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Birmingham Legion averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Chattanooga Red Wolves won 1, Birmingham Legion won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 1.31 for Birmingham Legion. This points to a Chattanooga Red Wolves double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Chattanooga Red Wolves

20%

Draws

36%

Birmingham Legion

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chattanooga Red Wolves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Chattanooga Red Wolves picked up more points recently compared to Birmingham Legion.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 18%

Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chattanooga Red Wolves	Birmingham Legion
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	12	5
Draws	4	12
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	1.24	1.22
Goals Conceded	1.14	1.41
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 USL Cup

Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Birmingham Legion

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Apr 27, 2025 USL Cup

Birmingham Legion vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 4 - 3

3:1

Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly

Birmingham Legion vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 2 - 0

1:2

Apr 18, 2024 US Open Cup

Birmingham Legion vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

4:2

Apr 5, 2023 US Open Cup

Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Birmingham Legion

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 4 - 2

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercer G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Birmingham Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Saucedo S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chattanooga Red Wolves 43 / 100

Birmingham Legion 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chattanooga Red Wolves Birmingham Legion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chattanooga Red Wolves or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chattanooga Red Wolves attacking → ← attacking Birmingham Legion

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chattanooga Red Wolves scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Birmingham Legion let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Chattanooga Red Wolves went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Birmingham Legion lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 27

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Sacramento Republic	3	3	0	7:1	8
2	Spokane Velocity	3	2	1	3:5	6
3	Athletic Club Boise	3	2	1	7:6	5
4	Oakland Roots	3	1	2	3:3	4
5	Monterey Bay	3	1	2	6:7	3
6	Las Vegas Lights	3	0	3	1:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Colorado Springs	3	3	0	7:1	9
2	El Paso Locomotive	3	2	1	5:3	6
3	New Mexico	3	2	1	6:5	6
4	AV Alta FC	3	1	2	3:5	3
5	Phoenix Rising	3	1	2	2:6	3
6	Orange County SC	3	0	3	3:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	San Antonio FC	3	3	0	4:1	8
2	Birmingham Legion	3	2	1	5:2	6
3	One Knoxville	3	2	1	4:3	4
4	FC Tulsa	3	1	2	3:4	4
5	Corpus Christi FC	3	1	2	1:4	3
6	Chattanooga Red Wolves	3	0	3	2:5	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Louisville City	3	3	0	9:2	8
2	Indy Eleven	4	3	1	7:4	7
3	Lexington	3	2	1	6:4	6
4	Union Omaha	3	2	1	7:8	6
5	Detroit City	3	1	2	2:3	5
6	Fort Wayne	3	0	3	5:10	1
7	Forward Madison	3	0	3	2:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Hartford Athletic	3	2	1	6:2	7
2	Brooklyn FC	3	2	1	8:3	6
3	Rhode Island	3	2	1	5:2	5
4	Portland Hearts of Pine	3	1	2	5:9	4
5	New York Cosmos	3	1	2	4:9	3
6	Westchester SC	3	1	2	5:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Charleston	3	3	0	7:1	8
2	Charlotte Independence	3	3	0	5:2	8
3	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	3	1	2	4:3	5
4	Loudoun United	3	1	2	4:5	3
5	Greenville Triumph	3	1	2	3:5	3
6	Richmond Kickers	3	0	3	1:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	3	3	0	8:1	9
2	Miami FC	3	2	1	6:5	6
3	Sporting Jax	4	1	3	3:5	4
4	Sarasota Paradise	3	1	2	2:4	3
5	FC Naples	3	1	2	3:7	2