Sport Picks
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence
USA
USL League One CHI Memorial Stadium, East Ridge, TN 
Match Events
1'
1'
Saydee P.
13'
13'
Marou S.
Assist: Alvarez L.
21'
21'
Ramos J.
Assist: Hernandez P.
AI Match Summary
Charlotte Independence in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charlotte Independence.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Chattanooga Red Wolves haven't matched Charlotte Independence's recent run of results.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 10%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chattanooga Red Wolves | Charlotte Independence |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 20 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 2.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:4
May 30, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence
2:3
Oct 17, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramos J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hernandez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Charlotte Independence Compare
Top Goalscorer Saydee P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marou S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chattanooga Red Wolves 29 / 100
Charlotte Independence 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chattanooga Red Wolves Charlotte Independence
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chattanooga Red Wolves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chattanooga Red Wolves found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Charlotte Independence conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Chattanooga Red Wolves stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chattanooga Red Wolves VS Charlotte Independence
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chattanooga Red Wolves
(Home) 30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Forward Madison
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Forward Madison
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1 Greenville Triumph
29 Aug
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2 : 3 Athletic Club Boise
Page 1 of 4
Charlotte Independence
(Away) 26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4 Westchester SC
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
23 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
23 Jul
Spokane Velocity
3 : 0 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 64:40 | 57 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50:27 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 44:31 | 47 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 47:39 | 43 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 37:33 | 43 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 42:36 | 38 |
| 9 | Sarasota Paradise | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37:40 | 33 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 30:36 | 33 |
| 11 | AV Alta FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 30:43 | 31 |
| 13 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 40:50 | 30 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 46:45 | 29 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:51 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 32:52 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 25:53 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
