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Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence

USA USA

USL League One CHI Memorial Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Saydee P.
13' Event
Marou S.
Assist: Alvarez L.
21' Event
Ramos J.
Assist: Hernandez P.

AI Match Summary

Charlotte Independence in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charlotte Independence.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
39%
Draws
30%
Charlotte Independence
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Chattanooga Red Wolves haven't matched Charlotte Independence's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 10%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chattanooga Red Wolves Charlotte Independence
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.75 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence
2:3
Oct 17, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
0:0
Jul 16, 2024 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Charlotte Independence Compare

Top Goalscorer Saydee P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marou S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 / 100
Charlotte Independence 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chattanooga Red Wolves Charlotte Independence

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Charlotte Independence conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Chattanooga Red Wolves found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chattanooga Red Wolves stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chattanooga Red Wolves VS Charlotte Independence
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310