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Chattanooga Red Wolves vs FC Naples

USA USA

USL League One CHI Memorial Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Arevalo W.
46'
Sub
Tapia O. In: Kelly-Rosales A.
Out: Tapia O.
63'
Sub
Lombardi A. In: Mercer G.
Out: Lombardi A.

AI Match Summary

Chattanooga Red Wolves in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chattanooga Red Wolves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
6%
Draws
4%
FC Naples
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chattanooga Red Wolves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Naples have won more games recently than Chattanooga Red Wolves.
  • Model gives Chattanooga Red Wolves a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 19%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chattanooga Red Wolves FC Naples
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs FC Naples
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:2
May 14, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs FC Naples
3:1
Mar 9, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chattanooga Red Wolves 85 / 100
FC Naples 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chattanooga Red Wolves FC Naples

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: FC Naples has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Chattanooga Red Wolves scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

FC Naples let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Chattanooga Red Wolves VS FC Naples
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310