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Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison

USA USA

USL League One CHI Memorial Stadium, East Ridge, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Hernandez O.
Assist: Lelin Y.
28'
Forbes J.
36'
Knapp M.

AI Match Summary

Chattanooga Red Wolves in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chattanooga Red Wolves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
30%
Draws
31%
Forward Madison
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chattanooga Red Wolves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Forward Madison lately — more wins on the board than Chattanooga Red Wolves.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Chattanooga Red Wolves taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 16%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chattanooga Red Wolves Forward Madison
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.64 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison
1:0
Jul 30, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
5:2
Oct 11, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:1
Aug 6, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison
2:1
May 31, 2025 USL Cup
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Forward Madison Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chattanooga Red Wolves 48 / 100
Forward Madison 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chattanooga Red Wolves Forward Madison

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chattanooga Red Wolves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chattanooga Red Wolves found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Forward Madison let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chattanooga Red Wolves stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chattanooga Red Wolves VS Forward Madison
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chattanooga Red Wolves

(Home)
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
Forward Madison
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1
Greenville Triumph
02 Sept
Westchester SC
0 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
29 Aug
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2 : 3
Athletic Club Boise
Page 1 of 6

Forward Madison

(Away)
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
Forward Madison
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
06 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 2
Forward Madison
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1
One Knoxville
29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Forward Madison
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 28 18 4 6 50:30 58
2 Charlotte Independence 27 17 5 5 63:39 56
3 Forward Madison 27 15 6 6 50:26 51
4 One Knoxville 27 13 8 6 44:31 47
5 Athletic Club Boise 27 13 7 7 43:37 46
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 26 13 4 9 47:38 43
7 Spokane Velocity 24 12 4 8 36:33 40
8 Fort Wayne 26 10 7 9 41:35 37
9 Corpus Christi FC 26 8 9 9 30:36 33
10 AV Alta FC 28 8 8 12 34:40 32
11 Sarasota Paradise 26 8 6 12 33:39 30
12 Portland Hearts of Pine 27 7 9 11 39:46 30
13 Westchester SC 27 8 5 14 46:45 29
14 FC Naples 26 8 4 14 29:43 28
15 Greenville Triumph 26 6 5 15 29:48 23
16 New York Cosmos 26 6 4 16 32:52 22
17 Richmond Kickers 26 5 5 16 25:53 20
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)