Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chattanooga vs Carolina Core

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Finley Stadium, Chattanooga, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Hanchard M.
37'
Montenegro R.
46'
Sub
John D. In: Tattevin A.
Out: John D.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Chattanooga and Carolina Core finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chattanooga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Chattanooga
15%
Draws
28%
Carolina Core
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chattanooga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Carolina Core haven't matched Chattanooga's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Chattanooga a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Chattanooga have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Chattanooga Clean Sheet 13%
Carolina Core Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chattanooga Carolina Core
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2.1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chattanooga vs Carolina Core
5:2
Jul 12, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Chattanooga
1:2
May 24, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chattanooga vs Carolina Core
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Chattanooga vs Carolina Core
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Chattanooga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chattanooga Compare

Top Goalscorer Krehl A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Carolina Core Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chattanooga 84 / 100
Carolina Core 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chattanooga Carolina Core

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chattanooga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chattanooga scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Carolina Core let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Chattanooga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chattanooga VS Carolina Core
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chattanooga

(Home)
20 Sept
Chicago Fire II
0 : 1
Chattanooga
13 Sept
Chattanooga
4 : 1
Atlanta United 2
10 Sept
Huntsville City
1 : 2
Chattanooga
29 Aug
Chattanooga
5 : 2
Carolina Core
23 Aug
Crown Legacy
3 : 1
Chattanooga
Page 1 of 6

Carolina Core

(Away)
20 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 1
Carolina Core
12 Sept
Crown Legacy
2 : 3
Carolina Core
04 Sept
Carolina Core
3 : 2
New England Revolution II
29 Aug
Chattanooga
5 : 2
Carolina Core
22 Aug
Carolina Core
1 : 3
FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)