Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chattanooga vs New York Red Bulls II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Finley Stadium, Chattanooga, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Robertson T.
Assist: Krehl A.
12' Event
Robertson T.
(Penalty)
40'
Nelich D.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Chattanooga and New York Red Bulls II finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chattanooga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chattanooga
6%
Draws
4%
New York Red Bulls II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chattanooga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chattanooga come out ahead of New York Red Bulls II on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chattanooga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
  • Chattanooga have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Chattanooga Clean Sheet 10%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chattanooga New York Red Bulls II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 17
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chattanooga vs New York Red Bulls II
4:0
Jun 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Chattanooga
5:2
Oct 6, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Chattanooga vs New York Red Bulls II
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chattanooga Compare

Top Goalscorer Robertson T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

New York Red Bulls II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chattanooga 83 / 100
New York Red Bulls II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chattanooga New York Red Bulls II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chattanooga scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

New York Red Bulls II has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Chattanooga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chattanooga VS New York Red Bulls II
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chattanooga

(Home)
25 Jul
Chattanooga
4 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
18 Jul
Chattanooga
1 : 2
Orlando City B
12 Jul
Carolina Core
1 : 2
Chattanooga
04 Jul
Chattanooga
1 : 0
Inter Miami II
27 Jun
Chattanooga
3 : 2
Chicago Fire II
Page 1 of 6

New York Red Bulls II

(Away)
24 Jul
New York Red Bulls II
0 : 3
Crown Legacy
19 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1
New York Red Bulls II
12 Jul
Chicago Fire II
3 : 0
New York Red Bulls II
05 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2New England Revolution II18120626:2035
3New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
4CT United FC18100833:3228
5New York City II1790827:2628
6Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
7Toronto FC II20801231:3825
8FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Orlando City B19120740:3335
3Chattanooga19120735:3034
4Atlanta United 21890938:2830
5Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
6Huntsville City18801031:3525
7Carolina Core20601426:3221
8Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
2Ventura County19110834:2732
3Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
4San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
5Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
6Real Monarchs19100931:3526
7Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
4St. Louis City 219100930:3229
5North Texas1780927:2125
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
3New England Revolution II18120626:2035
4Orlando City B19120740:3335
5Chattanooga19120735:3034
6New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
7Atlanta United 21890938:2830
8CT United FC18100833:3228
9New York City II1790827:2628
10Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
11Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
12Toronto FC II20801231:3825
13Huntsville City18801031:3525
14Carolina Core20601426:3221
15FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
16Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
4Ventura County19110834:2732
5Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
6St. Louis City 219100930:3229
7Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
8San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
9Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
10Real Monarchs19100931:3526
11North Texas1780927:2125
12Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)