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Chattanooga vs Orlando City B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Finley Stadium, Chattanooga, TN
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
1 - 2
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Pedro Leao
Assist: Belgodere M.
46'
Sub
Sorenson A. In: Louis S.
Out: Sorenson A.
63'
Sub
Mangarov D. In: Garcia A.
Out: Mangarov D.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Chattanooga and Orlando City B finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orlando City B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Chattanooga
15%
Draws
36%
Orlando City B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chattanooga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Chattanooga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chattanooga a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Chattanooga Clean Sheet 16%
Orlando City B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chattanooga Orlando City B
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 22 16
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.06 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chattanooga vs Orlando City B
1:2
May 31, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Orlando City B vs Chattanooga
5:2
Apr 11, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chattanooga vs Orlando City B
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Orlando City B vs Chattanooga
2:3
Jun 1, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Orlando City B vs Chattanooga
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chattanooga Compare

Top Goalscorer Louis S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Orlando City B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Leao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chattanooga 84 / 100
Orlando City B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chattanooga Orlando City B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chattanooga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chattanooga found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Orlando City B conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chattanooga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chattanooga VS Orlando City B
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chattanooga

(Home)
20 Sept
Chicago Fire II
0 : 1
Chattanooga
13 Sept
Chattanooga
4 : 1
Atlanta United 2
10 Sept
Huntsville City
1 : 2
Chattanooga
29 Aug
Chattanooga
5 : 2
Carolina Core
23 Aug
Crown Legacy
3 : 1
Chattanooga
Page 1 of 7

Orlando City B

(Away)
20 Sept
Orlando City B
2 : 4
Atlanta United 2
13 Sept
Orlando City B
3 : 1
Toronto FC II
04 Sept
Inter Miami II
1 : 4
Orlando City B
30 Aug
Orlando City B
3 : 2
Crown Legacy
22 Aug
Atlanta United 2
5 : 1
Orlando City B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)