Sport Picks

France

National 2 - Group A

Bayonne

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chauray play Bayonne in the National 2 - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chauray averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Bayonne averaged 1.35 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Chauray won 0, Bayonne won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 6, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Chauray and 1.38 for Bayonne. This points to a Bayonne double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Chauray

15%

Draws

52%

Bayonne

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayonne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Chauray picked up more points recently compared to Bayonne.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Chauray Clean Sheet 17%

Bayonne Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chauray	Bayonne
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	11	17
Draws	5	4
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.17	1.35
Goals Conceded	1.27	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 National 2 - Group A

Chauray vs Bayonne

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Sep 19, 2025 National 2 - Group A

Bayonne vs Chauray

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chauray Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer Saintorens A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chauray 33 / 100

Bayonne 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chauray Bayonne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bayonne or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chauray attacking → ← attacking Bayonne

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chauray scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Bayonne let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Chauray went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bayonne lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 55

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	La Roche Vendee	30	19	8	3	61:27	65
2	Bordeaux	30	19	5	6	51:28	62
3	Bayonne	30	17	4	9	42:27	55
4	Saint-Malo	30	13	11	6	43:29	50
5	Les Herbiers	30	14	7	9	45:33	49
6	Angouleme CFC	30	11	10	9	33:36	43
7	Dinan	30	12	5	13	44:45	41
8	Avranches	30	10	10	10	46:41	40
9	Chauray	30	11	5	14	35:38	38
10	St. Colomban Locmine	30	9	10	11	31:34	37
11	Montlouis	30	7	10	13	42:50	31
12	Lorient II	30	9	5	16	38:51	31
13	Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant	30	8	6	16	25:47	30
14	Granville	30	6	11	13	32:41	29
15	Saumur Olympique	30	6	10	14	37:56	28
16	Stade Poitevin	30	5	11	14	21:43	25