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Chauray vs Les Herbiers Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Pascaud A.
32' Event
Cisse B.
45' Event
Billy J.

AI Match Summary

Les Herbiers in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Les Herbiers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Chauray
20%
Draws
64%
Les Herbiers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Les Herbiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Les Herbiers have won more games recently than Chauray.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Les Herbiers here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Chauray Clean Sheet 14%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chauray Les Herbiers
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Chauray vs Les Herbiers
1:2
Mar 13, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Les Herbiers vs Chauray
3:1
Oct 3, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Chauray vs Les Herbiers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chauray Compare

Top Goalscorer Cisse B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Les Herbiers Compare

Top Goalscorer Pascaud A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Billy J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chauray 31 / 100
Les Herbiers 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chauray Les Herbiers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Les Herbiers conceded in 86% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Chauray scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Away concern: Les Herbiers has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chauray VS Les Herbiers
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chauray

(Home)
19 Sept
Dinan
2 : 1
Chauray
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
04 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 0
Chauray
29 Aug
Chauray
0 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
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Les Herbiers

(Away)
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
29 Aug
Dinan
2 : 0
Les Herbiers
22 Aug
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 1
Les Herbiers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayonne 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
2 Angouleme CFC 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
3 Dinan 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Stade Briochin 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
5 Granville 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
6 Avranches 5 2 2 1 6:3 8
7 Tarbes 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Saint-Malo 5 2 2 1 6:2 8
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
10 Lorient II 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
11 St. Colomban Locmine 5 1 2 2 2:3 5
12 Les Herbiers 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
13 Saumur Olympique 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
14 Pontivy 5 0 3 2 5:9 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 5 0 3 2 3:7 3
16 Chauray 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)