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Chauray vs Stade Poitevin

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Grain J.
79' Event
Agamah H.
86' Event
Cachenaut B.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A game between Chauray and Stade Poitevin finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chauray.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Chauray
20%
Draws
38%
Stade Poitevin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chauray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Chauray carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Chauray taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Chauray Clean Sheet 20%
Stade Poitevin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chauray Stade Poitevin
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 11
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Chauray vs Stade Poitevin
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Stade Poitevin vs Chauray
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chauray Compare

Top Goalscorer Grain J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agamah H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Stade Poitevin Compare

Top Goalscorer Cachenaut B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chauray 42 / 100
Stade Poitevin 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chauray Stade Poitevin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chauray found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Stade Poitevin let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Chauray went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chauray VS Stade Poitevin
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325