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Chauray vs Stade Poitevin

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Grain J.
79' Event
Agamah H.
86' Event
Cachenaut B.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Chauray and Stade Poitevin finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chauray.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chauray
35%
Draws
32%
Stade Poitevin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Chauray carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Chauray Clean Sheet 19%
Stade Poitevin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chauray Stade Poitevin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 5 11
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.17 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Chauray vs Stade Poitevin
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Stade Poitevin vs Chauray
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chauray Compare

Top Goalscorer Grain J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agamah H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Stade Poitevin Compare

Top Goalscorer Cachenaut B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chauray 36 / 100
Stade Poitevin 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chauray Stade Poitevin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Poitevin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Stade Poitevin conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Chauray's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Chauray went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chauray VS Stade Poitevin
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chauray

(Home)
29 Aug
Chauray
0 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
16 May
Chauray
0 : 1
Granville
09 May
La Roche Vendee
4 : 1
Chauray
02 May
Chauray
2 : 1
Stade Poitevin
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Stade Poitevin

(Away)
16 May
Lorient II
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
09 May
Stade Poitevin
1 : 1
St. Colomban Locmine
02 May
Chauray
2 : 1
Stade Poitevin
25 Apr
Stade Poitevin
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
18 Apr
Granville
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)