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Chavdar Etropole vs Septemvri Simitli Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chavdar Etropole in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chavdar Etropole.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chavdar Etropole
15%
Draws
34%
Septemvri Simitli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chavdar Etropole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Septemvri Simitli lately — more wins on the board than Chavdar Etropole.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chavdar Etropole Septemvri Simitli
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 16
Draws 1 6
Losses 25 12
Goals Scored 0.43 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Septemvri Simitli
4:2
Apr 13, 2024 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Septemvri Simitli
0:3
Sep 22, 2023 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Chavdar Etropole
4:2
May 27, 2023 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Chavdar Etropole
1:1
Apr 22, 2023 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Septemvri Simitli
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chavdar Etropole 30 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chavdar Etropole Septemvri Simitli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Septemvri Simitli lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Chavdar Etropole's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Septemvri Simitli let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chavdar Etropole VS Septemvri Simitli
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chavdar Etropole

(Home)
03 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
2 : 1
Slivnishki Geroy
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
19 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 3
Levski Sofia II
12 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
4 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
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Septemvri Simitli

(Away)
03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
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