Sport Picks

Chavdar Etropole vs Septemvri Simitli Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2023/2024

Septemvri Simitli

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chavdar Etropole host Septemvri Simitli in the Third League - South-West 2023/2024. This has Septemvri Simitli written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Chavdar Etropole at 0.43 goals for, 2.67 against; Septemvri Simitli at 1.32 for, 1.06 against. Head-to-head, Chavdar Etropole have won 1 to Septemvri Simitli's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 4:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.88) back Septemvri Simitli to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Chavdar Etropole

15%

Draws

34%

Septemvri Simitli

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chavdar Etropole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Septemvri Simitli lately — more wins on the board than Chavdar Etropole.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Third League - South-West 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%

Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chavdar Etropole	Septemvri Simitli
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	4	16
Draws	1	6
Losses	25	12
Goals Scored	0.43	1.32
Goals Conceded	2.67	1.06
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Third League - South-West

Chavdar Etropole vs Septemvri Simitli

4:2

Apr 13, 2024 Third League - South-West

Chavdar Etropole vs Septemvri Simitli

0:3

Sep 22, 2023 Third League - South-West

Septemvri Simitli vs Chavdar Etropole

4:2

May 27, 2023 Third League - South-West

Septemvri Simitli vs Chavdar Etropole

1:1

Apr 22, 2023 Third League - South-West

Chavdar Etropole vs Septemvri Simitli

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chavdar Etropole 30 / 100

Septemvri Simitli 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chavdar Etropole Septemvri Simitli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Septemvri Simitli registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Chavdar Etropole's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Septemvri Simitli has conceded goals in 59% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chavdar Etropole VS Septemvri Simitli

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History