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Chavdar Etropole vs Slivnishki Geroy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chavdar Etropole in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chavdar Etropole.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Chavdar Etropole
20%
Draws
36%
Slivnishki Geroy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chavdar Etropole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Slivnishki Geroy lately — more wins on the board than Chavdar Etropole.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%
Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chavdar Etropole Slivnishki Geroy
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 1 7
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 0.41 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Slivnishki Geroy
2:1
Mar 23, 2024 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Chavdar Etropole
3:0
Sep 6, 2023 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Slivnishki Geroy
1:1
Mar 4, 2023 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Chavdar Etropole
1:1
Oct 8, 2022 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Slivnishki Geroy
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chavdar Etropole 30 / 100
Slivnishki Geroy 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chavdar Etropole Slivnishki Geroy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slivnishki Geroy let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Away concern: Slivnishki Geroy has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Chavdar Etropole scored in 28% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Chavdar Etropole VS Slivnishki Geroy
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chavdar Etropole

(Home)
10 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
03 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
2 : 1
Slivnishki Geroy
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
19 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 3
Levski Sofia II
12 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
4 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
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Slivnishki Geroy

(Away)
10 Oct
Slivnishki Geroy
2 : 0
Natsional Sofia
03 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
2 : 1
Slivnishki Geroy
26 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
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