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Chavdar Troyan vs Belene

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2012/2013
Chavdar Troyan Logo

Chavdar Troyan

3 - 2
FT
Belene Logo

Belene

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2012/2013 game between Chavdar Troyan and Belene finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chavdar Troyan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Chavdar Troyan
20%
Draws
0%
Belene
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chavdar Troyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Chavdar Troyan's 1.04 goals per match outpaces what Belene have produced (0.9).
  • Chavdar Troyan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Chavdar Troyan Clean Sheet 20%
Belene Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chavdar Troyan Belene
Matches Played 27 39
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 29
Goals Scored 1.04 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.78 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2013 Third League - North-West
Chavdar Troyan vs Belene
3:2
Sep 7, 2012 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Chavdar Troyan
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chavdar Troyan 85 / 100
Belene 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chavdar Troyan Belene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chavdar Troyan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belene let in goals in 85% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Belene has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Chavdar Troyan scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Chavdar Troyan VS Belene
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.83 Goals Conceded 2.63
33% Over 1.5 88%
17% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chavdar Troyan

(Home)
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
05 Sept
OFK Levski
0 : 0
Chavdar Troyan
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
22 Aug
Spartak Pleven II
1 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
30 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Kariana Erden
Page 1 of 6

Belene

(Away)
29 May
Vihar Slavyanovo
7 : 0
Belene
22 May
Belene
2 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
15 May
Belene
2 : 4
Yantra Gabrovo
08 May
Kariana Erden
4 : 0
Belene
04 May
Belene
3 : 4
Juventus Malchika
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 22 16 2 4 61:14 50
2 Parva Atomna 22 15 4 3 46:15 49
3 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 14 1 7 56:28 43
4 Dunav Selanovtsi 22 12 4 6 39:25 40
5 Lokomotiv Mezdra 1929 22 11 1 10 42:38 34
6 Gorna 22 9 4 9 40:26 31
7 OFK Levski 22 9 4 9 34:32 31
8 Belene 22 9 2 11 30:27 29
9 Sitomir 22 7 6 9 29:37 27
10 Chavdar Troyan 22 5 4 13 25:70 19
11 Tryavna 22 3 3 16 17:61 12
12 Balkan Belogradchik 22 1 7 14 19:65 10
Promotion - B PFG 2013/2014 (Main)