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Chavdar Troyan vs Etar II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chavdar Troyan host Etar II in the Third League - North-West. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chavdar Troyan have averaged 1.04 scored and 2.89 conceded recently, against Etar II's 1.69 scored and 1.55 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.50, favoring Etar II. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Chavdar Troyan
15%
Draws
51%
Etar II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etar II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Etar II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Etar II a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Chavdar Troyan Clean Sheet 16%
Etar II Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chavdar Troyan Etar II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.04 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.89 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chavdar Troyan 10 / 100
Etar II 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chavdar Troyan Etar II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etar II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chavdar Troyan found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Etar II let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Etar II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Chavdar Troyan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chavdar Troyan VS Etar II
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chavdar Troyan

(Home)
10 Oct
Akademik Svishtov
4 : 2
Chavdar Troyan
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
05 Sept
OFK Levski
0 : 0
Chavdar Troyan
Page 1 of 6

Etar II

(Away)
17 Oct
Pavlikeni
2 : 0
Etar II
11 Oct
Etar II
9 : 3
Spartak Pleven II
26 Sept
Etar II
1 : 3
Yantra Polski Trambesh
12 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
1 : 0
Etar II
05 Sept
Etar II
3 : 0
Juventus Malchika
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 7 5 2 0 15:5 17
2 Kom Berkovitsa 8 3 4 1 16:13 13
3 Lokomotiv Mezdra 6 2 4 0 11:6 10
4 Yantra Polski Trambesh 7 2 4 1 17:15 10
5 Sevlievo 6 2 3 1 7:5 9
6 Bdin Vidin 7 3 0 4 14:16 9
7 Partizan Cerven Brjag 7 2 3 2 7:9 9
8 OFK Levski 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
9 Chavdar Troyan 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
10 Pavlikeni 8 2 0 6 7:13 6
11 Spartak Pleven II 8 1 3 4 15:27 6
12 Etar II 6 1 1 4 14:14 4
13 Juventus Malchika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)