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Chavdar Troyan vs Gorna Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2012/2013 game between Chavdar Troyan and Gorna finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chavdar Troyan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chavdar Troyan
35%
Draws
34%
Gorna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gorna come out ahead of Chavdar Troyan on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Chavdar Troyan Clean Sheet 20%
Gorna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chavdar Troyan Gorna
Matches Played 28 37
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.04 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.79 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2013 Third League - North-West
Gorna vs Chavdar Troyan
11:0
Oct 21, 2012 Third League - North-West
Chavdar Troyan vs Gorna
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chavdar Troyan 36 / 100
Gorna 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chavdar Troyan Gorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Chavdar Troyan found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Gorna has conceded goals in 73% of their last 37 outings.

Chavdar Troyan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chavdar Troyan VS Gorna
0.67 Goals Scored 0.88
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.5
33% Over 1.5 88%
17% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chavdar Troyan

(Home)
26 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
05 Sept
OFK Levski
0 : 0
Chavdar Troyan
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
22 Aug
Spartak Pleven II
1 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
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Gorna

(Away)
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
03 Sept
Gorna
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 22 16 2 4 61:14 50
2 Parva Atomna 22 15 4 3 46:15 49
3 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 14 1 7 56:28 43
4 Dunav Selanovtsi 22 12 4 6 39:25 40
5 Lokomotiv Mezdra 1929 22 11 1 10 42:38 34
6 Gorna 22 9 4 9 40:26 31
7 OFK Levski 22 9 4 9 34:32 31
8 Belene 22 9 2 11 30:27 29
9 Sitomir 22 7 6 9 29:37 27
10 Chavdar Troyan 22 5 4 13 25:70 19
11 Tryavna 22 3 3 16 17:61 12
12 Balkan Belogradchik 22 1 7 14 19:65 10
Promotion - B PFG 2013/2014 (Main)