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Chaves B vs GD Braganca Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
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Match Events

46' Event
Silvano N.
89' Event
Cunha T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Chaves B
15%
Draws
50%
GD Braganca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Braganca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GD Braganca lately — more wins on the board than Chaves B.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on GD Braganca taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Chaves B Clean Sheet 22%
GD Braganca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves B GD Braganca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.4 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs GD Braganca
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Chaves B
1:1
Mar 29, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Chaves B
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs GD Braganca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Cunha T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

GD Braganca Compare

Top Goalscorer Silvano N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves B 10 / 100
GD Braganca 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves B GD Braganca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Braganca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chaves B scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

GD Braganca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Chaves B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chaves B VS GD Braganca
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaves B

(Home)
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Vinhais
1 : 2
Chaves B
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
08 Jul
Chaves
1 : 0
Chaves B
Page 1 of 6

GD Braganca

(Away)
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
13 Sept
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Ponte da Barca
06 Sept
Maia Lidador
0 : 1
GD Braganca
30 Aug
Rebordelo
0 : 4
GD Braganca
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0
Braga B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)