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Chaves U19 vs Moreirense U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Chaves U19
20%
Draws
34%
Moreirense U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chaves U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chaves U19 haven't matched Moreirense U19's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Chaves U19 taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Chaves U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Moreirense U19 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves U19 Moreirense U19
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.82 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Moreirense U19
0:0
Feb 28, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Chaves U19
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Chaves U19
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Moreirense U19
0:0
May 12, 2018 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs Chaves U19
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves U19 41 / 100
Moreirense U19 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves U19 Moreirense U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Moreirense U19 conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Chaves U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Moreirense U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chaves U19 VS Moreirense U19
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaves U19

(Home)
25 Apr
Chaves U19
0 : 0
Moreirense U19
11 Apr
Braga U19
4 : 2
Chaves U19
03 Apr
Chaves U19
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
14 Mar
Chaves U19
3 : 2
Pacos Ferreira U19
07 Mar
Vizela U19
2 : 2
Chaves U19
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Moreirense U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Braga U19
0 : 1
Moreirense U19
06 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 0
Rio Ave U19
29 Aug
Moreirense U19
2 : 3
Famalicao U19
22 Aug
FC Porto U19
3 : 1
Moreirense U19
15 Aug
Moreirense U19
1 : 2
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
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