Sport Picks

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Chaves U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lobo T.
7' Event
Lima L.
13' Event
Luis E. M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Chaves U19 and Pacos Ferreira U19 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chaves U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chaves U19
35%
Draws
25%
Pacos Ferreira U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chaves U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Pacos Ferreira U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chaves U19's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chaves U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Pacos Ferreira U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves U19 Pacos Ferreira U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.7 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19
3:2
Jan 31, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Chaves U19
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Chaves U19
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19
0:0
Apr 20, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Pacos Ferreira U19
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chaves U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Luis E. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pacos Ferreira U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lobo T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yordanov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves U19 40 / 100
Pacos Ferreira U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves U19 Pacos Ferreira U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chaves U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pacos Ferreira U19 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Chaves U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chaves U19 scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Chaves U19 VS Pacos Ferreira U19
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaves U19

(Home)
25 Apr
Chaves U19
0 : 0
Moreirense U19
11 Apr
Braga U19
4 : 2
Chaves U19
03 Apr
Chaves U19
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
14 Mar
Chaves U19
3 : 2
Pacos Ferreira U19
07 Mar
Vizela U19
2 : 2
Chaves U19
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Pacos Ferreira U19

(Away)
25 Apr
Pacos Ferreira U19
3 : 2
Vizela U19
11 Apr
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Pacos Ferreira U19
04 Apr
Pacos Ferreira U19
0 : 4
Braga U19
14 Mar
Chaves U19
3 : 2
Pacos Ferreira U19
07 Mar
Pacos Ferreira U19
2 : 2
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
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