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Chaves vs Chaves B

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Chaves and Chaves B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chaves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Chaves
15%
Draws
48%
Chaves B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chaves come out ahead of Chaves B on wins alone.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chaves Clean Sheet 20%
Chaves B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves Chaves B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Chaves vs Chaves B
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves 36 / 100
Chaves B 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves Chaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chaves B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chaves scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Chaves B conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Chaves went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chaves VS Chaves B
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 40%
63% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaves

(Home)
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0
Feirense
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
23 Aug
Chaves
2 : 2
AFS
15 Aug
Sporting CP B
1 : 0
Chaves
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Chaves B

(Away)
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Vinhais
1 : 2
Chaves B
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
08 Jul
Chaves
1 : 0
Chaves B
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