Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chaves vs Feirense

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estadio Municipal de Chaves, Chaves
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Leo Alaba
62' Event
Rodrigues A.
64'
Sub
Yearwood D. In: Fofana M.
Out: Yearwood D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 game between Chaves and Feirense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chaves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Chaves
15%
Draws
0%
Feirense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chaves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Chaves carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chaves are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Chaves Clean Sheet 68%
Feirense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves Feirense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.3 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs Feirense
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Feirense vs Chaves
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs Feirense
1:1
Mar 7, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Feirense vs Chaves
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs Feirense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chaves Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Feirense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves 59 / 100
Feirense 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves Feirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chaves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Feirense registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Chaves's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Feirense let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Chaves VS Feirense
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaves

(Home)
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0
Feirense
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
23 Aug
Chaves
2 : 2
AFS
15 Aug
Sporting CP B
1 : 0
Chaves
Page 1 of 6

Feirense

(Away)
19 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Feirense
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0
Feirense
05 Sept
Feirense
1 : 3
Sporting CP B
30 Aug
AFS
2 : 0
Feirense
24 Aug
Feirense
0 : 1
FC Porto B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Penafiel 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
3 Sporting CP B 6 4 0 2 8:6 12
4 Vizela 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
5 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
6 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
7 Leixoes 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
9 Tondela 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
10 SC Farense 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
11 Portimonense 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
12 AFS 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
14 Torreense 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
15 Amarante FC 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Chaves 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
17 FC Porto B 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)