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Chaves vs Feirense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estadio Municipal de Chaves, Chaves
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Leo Alaba
62' Event
Rodrigues A.
64'
Sub
Yearwood D. In: Fofana M.
Out: Yearwood D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 game between Chaves and Feirense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chaves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Chaves
20%
Draws
10%
Feirense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chaves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chaves carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chaves are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Chaves Clean Sheet 20%
Feirense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves Feirense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.27 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs Feirense
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Feirense vs Chaves
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs Feirense
1:1
Mar 7, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Feirense vs Chaves
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs Feirense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chaves Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Feirense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves 42 / 100
Feirense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves Feirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chaves scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Feirense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Chaves went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Feirense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chaves VS Feirense
1 Goals Scored 0.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaves

(Home)
31 Oct
Benfica B
3 : 1
Chaves
23 Oct
Chaves
2 : 1
Vizela
16 Oct
Chaves
2 : 1
Os Marialvas
11 Oct
Lusitania FC
1 : 1
Chaves
04 Oct
SC Farense
4 : 0
Chaves
Page 1 of 6

Feirense

(Away)
02 Nov
Penafiel
1 : 0
Feirense
24 Oct
Feirense
0 : 0
Benfica B
11 Oct
SC Farense
2 : 1
Feirense
19 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Feirense
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0
Feirense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP B 9 7 0 2 15:7 21
2 Penafiel 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Lusitania FC 9 5 4 0 15:8 19
4 Benfica B 9 5 2 2 11:6 17
5 SC Farense 9 4 3 2 15:11 15
6 Academica 9 5 0 4 15:12 15
7 Tondela 9 5 0 4 12:10 15
8 Vizela 9 4 2 3 10:9 14
9 Leiria 9 4 2 3 13:11 14
10 AFS 9 3 3 3 11:10 12
11 Portimonense 9 3 2 4 6:10 11
12 Torreense 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
13 Leixoes 9 3 1 5 10:14 10
14 Amarante FC 9 2 2 5 8:12 8
15 Chaves 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
16 FC Porto B 9 2 2 5 8:17 8
17 FC Felgueiras 9 1 4 4 9:12 7
18 Feirense 9 0 2 7 2:11 2
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)