Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Chaves host Penafiel in the Liga Portugal 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Chaves at 1.3 goals for, 1.55 against; Penafiel at 1.38 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Chaves have won 2 to Penafiel's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.75) back Chaves to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Penafiel haven't matched Chaves's recent run of results.
- Penafiel are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chaves | Penafiel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chaves found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).
Penafiel let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Chaves went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Chaves
(Home)Penafiel
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP B | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 15:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Penafiel | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Lusitania FC | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica B | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 5 | SC Farense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:11 | 15 |
| 6 | Academica | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15:12 | 15 |
| 7 | Tondela | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Vizela | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 9 | Leiria | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 10 | AFS | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Torreense | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Leixoes | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 10 |
| 14 | Amarante FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 15 | Chaves | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:18 | 8 |
| 16 | FC Porto B | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 17 | FC Felgueiras | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 18 | Feirense | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2:11 | 2 |
