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Chayka Zelva vs FK Baranovici Prediction & H2H Stats

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ogurtsov A.
48' Event
Sorokin A.
53' Event
Chekhov P.

AI Match Summary

FK Baranovici in this Division 2 - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Baranovici.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Chayka Zelva
20%
Draws
58%
FK Baranovici
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Baranovici

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Baranovici lately — more wins on the board than Chayka Zelva.
  • Win probability leans FK Baranovici's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Chayka Zelva Clean Sheet 19%
FK Baranovici Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chayka Zelva FK Baranovici
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 1 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.74 1.6
Goals Conceded 4.7 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2020 Division 2 - Group A
Chayka Zelva vs FK Baranovici
1:2
May 30, 2020 Division 2 - Group A
FK Baranovici vs Chayka Zelva
13:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chayka Zelva Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogurtsov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

FK Baranovici Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorokin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chekhov P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chayka Zelva 20 / 100
FK Baranovici 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chayka Zelva FK Baranovici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Baranovici Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FK Baranovici conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Chayka Zelva's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Solid form: Chayka Zelva remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Baranovici
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chayka Zelva

(Home)
24 Oct
Zhlobin
3 : 2
Chayka Zelva
17 Oct
Chayka Zelva
3 : 0
Zhlobin
03 Oct
Chayka Zelva
0 : 5
Ostrovets
26 Sept
Chayka Zelva
1 : 2
BGU Minsk
19 Sept
Kronon Stolbtsy
4 : 2
Chayka Zelva
Page 1 of 5

FK Baranovici

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
FK Baranovici
23 Aug
FK Baranovici
1 : 1
Dynamo Brest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Molodechno 20 15 3 2 59:18 48
2 FK Baranovici 20 14 2 4 74:24 44
3 Stanles Pinsk 20 13 4 3 61:24 43
4 Brest Malorita 20 13 2 5 71:29 41
5 Ostrovets 20 11 2 7 48:25 35
6 Meliorator Zhitkovichi 20 11 2 7 43:29 35
7 Ivatsevichi 20 8 2 10 42:52 26
8 BGU Minsk 20 4 3 13 35:45 15
9 Pershiy Region 20 4 2 14 17:78 14
10 Kronon Stolbtsy 20 2 6 12 22:65 12
11 Chayka Zelva 20 0 2 18 12:95 2
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
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Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)