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Chayka Zelva vs Pershiy Region Prediction & H2H Stats

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Verenich A.
90'
Syrovatko E.
90'
Genius M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group A game between Chayka Zelva and Pershiy Region finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pershiy Region.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Chayka Zelva
15%
Draws
0%
Pershiy Region
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chayka Zelva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pershiy Region carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Chayka Zelva taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Chayka Zelva Clean Sheet 13%
Pershiy Region Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chayka Zelva Pershiy Region
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 1 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.74 0.74
Goals Conceded 4.7 4.3
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2020 Division 2 - Group A
Pershiy Region vs Chayka Zelva
2:1
May 2, 2020 Division 2 - Group A
Chayka Zelva vs Pershiy Region
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chayka Zelva Compare

Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Pershiy Region Compare

Top Goalscorer Verenich A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chayka Zelva 84 / 100
Pershiy Region 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chayka Zelva Pershiy Region

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chayka Zelva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pershiy Region has conceded goals in 87% of their last 23 outings.

Pershiy Region's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Chayka Zelva found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (23 games).

Scoring Trends

Chayka Zelva VS Pershiy Region
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 5.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chayka Zelva

(Home)
24 Oct
Zhlobin
3 : 2
Chayka Zelva
17 Oct
Chayka Zelva
3 : 0
Zhlobin
03 Oct
Chayka Zelva
0 : 5
Ostrovets
26 Sept
Chayka Zelva
1 : 2
BGU Minsk
19 Sept
Kronon Stolbtsy
4 : 2
Chayka Zelva
Page 1 of 5

Pershiy Region

(Away)
24 Oct
Polotsk
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
17 Oct
Pershiy Region
0 : 3
Polotsk
10 Oct
Ivatsevichi
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
07 Oct
Ostrovets
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
03 Oct
Molodechno
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Molodechno 20 15 3 2 59:18 48
2 FK Baranovici 20 14 2 4 74:24 44
3 Stanles Pinsk 20 13 4 3 61:24 43
4 Brest Malorita 20 13 2 5 71:29 41
5 Ostrovets 20 11 2 7 48:25 35
6 Meliorator Zhitkovichi 20 11 2 7 43:29 35
7 Ivatsevichi 20 8 2 10 42:52 26
8 BGU Minsk 20 4 3 13 35:45 15
9 Pershiy Region 20 4 2 14 17:78 14
10 Kronon Stolbtsy 20 2 6 12 22:65 12
11 Chayka Zelva 20 0 2 18 12:95 2
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